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Serie A

Referee: A Rapuano

Fiorentina

S T S T T

3–0

Full-time

Cagliari

U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Cagliari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

This season — Serie A · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 32%

50%

13%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

75%

63%

Both score Ø 75%

75%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,3

1,4

Conceded

1,5

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

65% Possession 35%

21 Shots 3

5 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 1

1 Offside 4

11 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fiorentina 8. · Cagliari 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	9	8	1	0	+13	25
2	Napoli	8	8	0	0	+16	24
3	Inter	8	5	2	1	+12	17
4	Roma	8	5	0	3	+7	15
5	Atalanta	9	4	3	2	+4	15
6	Lazio	8	4	2	2	+5	14
7	Juventus	8	4	2	2	+2	14
8	Fiorentina	8	4	0	4	-2	12
9	Bologna	9	3	3	3	-4	12
10	Empoli	9	4	0	5	-4	12
11	Torino	9	3	2	4	+2	11
12	Sassuolo	9	3	2	4	+0	11
13	Udinese	9	2	4	3	-2	10
14	Sampdoria	9	2	3	4	-4	9
15	Verona	8	2	2	4	+0	8
16	Venezia	9	2	2	5	-8	8
17	Spezia	9	2	1	6	-11	7
18	Cagliari	8	1	3	4	-6	6
19	Genoa	9	1	3	5	-7	6
20	Salernitana	9	1	1	7	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Roma	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Napoli	4	4	0	0	+6	12
4	Lazio	4	3	1	0	+8	10
5	Bologna	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Inter	3	2	1	0	+9	7
7	Torino	5	2	1	2	+3	7
8	Juventus	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Verona	4	2	0	2	+2	6
11	Cagliari	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Atalanta	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Udinese	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Sampdoria	5	1	2	2	-4	5
15	Venezia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Salernitana	5	1	1	3	-6	4
17	Spezia	4	1	0	3	-2	3
18	Fiorentina	3	1	0	2	-2	3
19	Empoli	5	1	0	4	-7	3
20	Genoa	4	0	2	2	-2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	Napoli	4	4	0	0	+10	12
3	Atalanta	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Inter	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Empoli	4	3	0	1	+3	9
6	Fiorentina	5	3	0	2	+0	9
7	Juventus	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Udinese	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Sampdoria	4	1	1	2	+0	4
10	Sassuolo	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Torino	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Lazio	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Genoa	5	1	1	3	-5	4
14	Venezia	6	1	1	4	-8	4
15	Spezia	5	1	1	3	-9	4
16	Roma	4	1	0	3	+1	3
17	Verona	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Bologna	4	0	2	2	-7	2
19	Cagliari	3	0	1	2	-5	1
20	Salernitana	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.