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Süper Lig
Referee: M Türkmen
Fenerbahce
S T S U S
4–1
Full-time
Trabzonspor
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Trabzonspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 54%
74%
33%
Points per game
2,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
67%
59%
Both score Ø 54%
52%
56%
Average goals
3,4
2,8
Scored
2,5
1,6
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,81 xG 1,41
51% Possession 49%
21 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fenerbahce 2. · Trabzonspor 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 28 22 5 1 +40 +25.8 71
2 Fenerbahce 27 20 5 2 +42 +35.2 65
3 Samsunspor 29 15 6 8 +11 +7.0 51
4 Besiktas 27 13 8 6 +14 +16.6 47
5 Eyüpspor 29 13 8 8 +10 +0.7 47
6 Buyuksehyr 28 12 6 10 +7 +5.4 42
7 Antalyaspor 29 11 6 12 -19 -13.7 39
8 Goztep 27 10 8 9 +10 +15.4 38
9 Gaziantep 27 11 5 11 +0 -7.9 38
10 Kasimpasa 28 9 11 8 -3 -0.3 38
11 Trabzonspor 27 9 9 9 +12 -1.8 36
12 Konyaspor 29 9 7 13 -7 -7.9 34
13 Rizespor 28 10 4 14 -12 +5.1 34
14 Bodrumspor 29 9 6 14 -10 -3.5 33
15 Kayserispor 28 8 9 11 -12 -0.4 33
16 Sivasspor 29 8 7 14 -8 -14.0 31
17 Alanyaspor 29 8 7 14 -11 -2.1 31
18 Hatayspor 28 4 7 17 -23 -25.7 19
19 Ad. Demirspor 28 2 4 22 -41 -33.8 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fenerbahce Trabzonspor
Alexander Djiku 🟨
7′
13′
🟨 Pedro Malheiro
Sofyan Amrabat 🟨
18′
Half-time 0–0
Talisca 🔁
↦ A. Djiku
46′
49′
D. Drăguș 0–1
S. Banza
Bright Osayi-Samuel ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
50′
1–1 Talisca
51′
60′
🟨 John Lundstram
2–1 M. Škriniar
60′
3–1 Talisca
A. Saint-Maximin
64′
65′
🔁 O. Tufan
↦ J. Lundstram
65′
🔁 E. Višća
↦ D. Drăguș
O. Aydın 🔁
↦ A. Saint-Maximin
67′
Ç. Söyüncü 🔁
↦ D. Tadić
67′
70′
🔁 C. Çanak
↦ M. Eskihellaç
70′
🔁 S. Saatçı
↦ A. Boşluk
4–1 Talisca
77′
80′
🔁 A. Nwakaeme
↦ B. Mendy
İ. Kahveci 🔁
↦ S. Szymański
81′
C. Tosun 🔁
↦ E. Džeko
86′
88′
🟨 Stefan Savić
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
40 D. Livaković G
21 B. Osayi-Samuel D
37 M. Škriniar D
6 A. Djiku D
16 M. Müldür D
13 Fred M
34 S. Amrabat M
10 D. Tadić M
53 S. Szymański M
97 A. Saint-Maximin M
9 E. Džeko F
Bench (10)
94 Talisca
70 O. Aydın
4 Ç. Söyüncü
17 İ. Kahveci
23 C. Tosun
19 Y. En-Nesyri
8 M. Yandaş
54 E. Çetin
95 Y. Akçiçek
22 L. Mercan

Coach: José Mourinho

Trabzonspor

5-4-1
1 U. Çakır G
79 Pedro Malheiro D
35 O. Yokuşlu D
15 S. Savić D
77 A. Boşluk D
19 M. Eskihellaç D
22 O. Zubkov M
6 B. Mendy M
5 J. Lundstram M
70 D. Drăguș M
17 S. Banza F
Bench (10)
11 O. Tufan
7 E. Višća
61 C. Çanak
29 S. Saatçı
9 A. Nwakaeme
84 A. Yılmaz
54 T. Tepe
14 D. Sikan
94 E. Destan
26 T. Jabol-Folcarelli

Coach: F. Tekke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,38
U
4,90
B
6,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,52
U2,5
2,41
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Türkmen · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.