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Süper Lig

Referee: H Meler

Trabzonspor

S S S T S

2–3

Full-time

Fenerbahce

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Trabzonspor Fenerbahce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,8

2,3

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 68%

52%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

52%

62%

Both score Ø 54%

52%

55%

Average goals

3,0

3,4

Scored

1,7

2,6

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,17 xG 0,91

58% Possession 42%

7 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

10 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 18

5 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Trabzonspor 3. · Fenerbahce 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	30	26	3	1	+48	+40.0	81
2	Fenerbahce	29	24	4	1	+53	+52.5	76
3	Trabzonspor	29	15	4	10	+12	+2.1	49
4	Besiktas	30	14	4	12	+4	+9.6	46
5	Kasimpasa	30	12	7	11	-2	-9.0	43
6	Buyuksehyr	30	12	6	12	+3	-0.3	42
7	Rizespor	30	12	6	12	-11	-6.0	42
8	Antalyaspor	30	10	11	9	+2	+0.6	41
9	Ad. Demirspor	30	9	12	9	+7	-0.9	39
10	Alanyaspor	30	9	12	9	-4	+2.2	39
11	Kayserispor	30	10	9	11	-7	-7.6	39
12	Sivasspor	30	9	11	10	-7	-6.8	38
13	Samsunspor	30	10	6	14	-6	+4.2	36
14	Ankaragücü	30	7	12	11	-3	-5.7	33
15	Hatayspor	30	7	12	11	-4	-4.8	33
16	Konyaspor	30	7	12	11	-11	-10.7	33
17	Gaziantep	30	8	7	15	-10	-12.5	31
18	Karagumruk	30	7	9	14	-4	-12.4	30
19	Pendikspor	30	7	8	15	-27	-11.8	29
20	İstanbulspor	30	3	7	20	-33	-22.7	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	15	15	0	0	+28	+27.7	45
2	Fenerbahce	15	11	3	1	+27	+29.6	36
3	Rizespor	16	10	3	3	+10	+5.5	33
4	Ad. Demirspor	15	9	3	3	+15	+6.4	30
5	Samsunspor	15	9	2	4	+9	+5.9	29
6	Trabzonspor	14	9	1	4	+8	+5.0	28
7	Buyuksehyr	15	8	2	5	+7	+1.3	26
8	Besiktas	15	8	2	5	+7	+6.4	26
9	Antalyaspor	15	6	7	2	+3	+2.0	25
10	Karagumruk	15	6	6	3	+12	-0.7	24
11	Kayserispor	15	6	6	3	+5	+2.6	24
12	Alanyaspor	15	6	6	3	+4	+4.7	24
13	Hatayspor	15	5	7	3	+5	-1.1	22
14	Ankaragücü	16	5	7	4	+1	+1.2	22
15	Kasimpasa	15	6	4	5	-1	-4.3	22
16	Konyaspor	14	5	4	5	+3	+2.2	19
17	Sivasspor	14	4	7	3	+2	+1.7	19
18	Pendikspor	15	5	3	7	-9	-6.1	18
19	Gaziantep	15	4	5	6	-4	-6.3	17
20	İstanbulspor	15	2	3	10	-17	-12.6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	14	13	1	0	+26	+22.9	40
2	Galatasaray	15	11	3	1	+20	+12.3	36
3	Trabzonspor	15	6	3	6	+4	-2.8	21
4	Kasimpasa	15	6	3	6	-1	-4.7	21
5	Besiktas	15	6	2	7	-3	+3.2	20
6	Sivasspor	16	5	4	7	-9	-8.4	19
7	Antalyaspor	15	4	4	7	-1	-1.5	16
8	Buyuksehyr	15	4	4	7	-4	-1.6	16
9	Alanyaspor	15	3	6	6	-8	-2.5	15
10	Kayserispor	15	4	3	8	-12	-10.2	15
11	Gaziantep	15	4	2	9	-6	-6.2	14
12	Konyaspor	16	2	8	6	-14	-12.9	14
13	Ankaragücü	14	2	5	7	-4	-6.9	11
14	Hatayspor	15	2	5	8	-9	-3.6	11
15	Pendikspor	15	2	5	8	-18	-5.7	11
16	Ad. Demirspor	15	0	9	6	-8	-7.3	9
17	Rizespor	14	2	3	9	-21	-11.5	9
18	Samsunspor	15	1	4	10	-15	-1.7	7
19	İstanbulspor	15	1	4	10	-16	-10.1	7
20	Karagumruk	15	1	3	11	-16	-11.7	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.