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Süper Lig

Referee: K Sağlam

Hatayspor

T T T S U

1–1

Full-time

Besiktas

T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Besiktas

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 29%

50%

Points per game

0,6

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

42%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

58%

Average goals

2,5

2,9

Scored

0,9

1,8

Conceded

1,6

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,70 xG 1,03

44% Possession 56%

12 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 9

2 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 11

9 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hatayspor 18. · Besiktas 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	13	11	2	0	+22	+14.2	35
2	Fenerbahce	12	9	2	1	+22	+16.7	29
3	Samsunspor	14	9	2	3	+15	+8.8	29
4	Eyüpspor	14	6	5	3	+6	-2.6	23
5	Besiktas	12	6	3	3	+7	+6.5	21
6	Goztep	13	6	3	4	+5	+3.1	21
7	Buyuksehyr	13	5	4	4	+3	+2.2	19
8	Rizespor	13	6	1	6	-5	+0.8	19
9	Sivasspor	14	5	3	6	-4	-10.3	18
10	Konyaspor	14	5	3	6	-5	-4.1	18
11	Antalyaspor	13	5	2	6	-8	-8.1	17
12	Trabzonspor	13	3	6	4	+2	-0.4	15
13	Gaziantep	12	4	3	5	+0	-2.4	15
14	Kasimpasa	13	3	6	4	-3	+0.9	15
15	Alanyaspor	13	3	5	5	-4	+1.0	14
16	Kayserispor	13	2	6	5	-12	-7.9	12
17	Bodrumspor	14	3	2	9	-11	-6.9	11
18	Hatayspor	12	1	4	7	-8	-4.9	7
19	Ad. Demirspor	13	0	2	11	-22	-6.5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	8	6	2	0	+11	+12.1	20
2	Goztep	6	5	1	0	+9	+2.9	16
3	Samsunspor	8	4	2	2	+6	+6.2	14
4	Eyüpspor	6	4	1	1	+6	+1.3	13
5	Antalyaspor	7	4	1	2	-1	-2.7	13
6	Buyuksehyr	6	3	3	0	+8	+3.2	12
7	Fenerbahce	5	4	0	1	+8	+8.5	12
8	Besiktas	6	4	0	2	+3	+4.9	12
9	Trabzonspor	6	3	2	1	+6	+1.8	11
10	Gaziantep	6	3	2	1	+5	+0.5	11
11	Sivasspor	7	3	2	2	+1	-3.8	11
12	Rizespor	7	3	1	3	-1	+1.5	10
13	Konyaspor	6	2	3	1	+1	+0.4	9
14	Alanyaspor	7	2	3	2	+0	+1.2	9
15	Bodrumspor	7	2	1	4	+0	-2.0	7
16	Hatayspor	6	1	2	3	-3	-1.3	5
17	Kasimpasa	7	0	3	4	-7	+0.1	3
18	Kayserispor	6	0	3	3	-8	-4.0	3
19	Ad. Demirspor	7	0	0	7	-13	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	7	5	2	0	+14	+8.2	17
2	Galatasaray	5	5	0	0	+11	+2.0	15
3	Samsunspor	6	5	0	1	+9	+2.6	15
4	Kasimpasa	6	3	3	0	+4	+0.8	12
5	Eyüpspor	8	2	4	2	+0	-3.9	10
6	Besiktas	6	2	3	1	+4	+1.6	9
7	Kayserispor	7	2	3	2	-4	-4.0	9
8	Rizespor	6	3	0	3	-4	-0.6	9
9	Konyaspor	8	3	0	5	-6	-4.6	9
10	Sivasspor	7	2	1	4	-5	-6.4	7
11	Buyuksehyr	7	2	1	4	-5	-1.0	7
12	Goztep	7	1	2	4	-4	+0.2	5
13	Alanyaspor	6	1	2	3	-4	-0.2	5
14	Trabzonspor	7	0	4	3	-4	-2.2	4
15	Gaziantep	6	1	1	4	-5	-3.0	4
16	Antalyaspor	6	1	1	4	-7	-5.3	4
17	Bodrumspor	7	1	1	5	-11	-5.0	4
18	Hatayspor	6	0	2	4	-5	-3.6	2
19	Ad. Demirspor	6	0	2	4	-9	-5.1	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.