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LaLiga2
Referee: Miguel Sesma
Elche
T U S U S
2–1
Full-time
Cadiz
U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Cadiz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 33%
41%
24%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
41%
53%
Both score Ø 44%
35%
53%
Average goals
2,1
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

79% Possession 21%
15 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
4 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Elche 6. · Cadiz 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 17 11 4 2 +12 37
2 Mirandes 18 10 4 4 +7 34
3 Almeria 17 9 4 4 +7 31
4 Sp Gijon 17 8 5 4 +9 29
5 Levante 17 8 5 4 +7 29
6 Elche 17 7 5 5 +7 26
7 Granada 17 7 5 5 +4 26
8 Oviedo 17 7 5 5 -2 26
9 Zaragoza 17 7 4 6 +6 25
10 Castellon 17 7 4 6 +4 25
11 Eibar 17 7 3 7 -1 24
12 Huesca 17 6 5 6 +6 23
13 Albacete 17 6 5 6 -2 23
14 Malaga 17 4 10 3 -3 22
15 La Coruna 17 5 5 7 +2 20
16 Eldense 17 5 4 8 -4 19
17 Cadiz 17 4 6 7 -6 18
18 Burgos 17 5 3 9 -9 18
19 Cordoba 17 4 5 8 -10 17
20 Ferrol 17 2 9 6 -8 15
21 Tenerife 16 2 5 9 -10 11
22 Cartagena 17 3 1 13 -16 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elche Cadiz
8′
Javi Ontiveros 0–1
17′
🟨 Roger Martí
Yago Santiago 🟨
26′
Josan 🟨
30′
37′
🟨 Brian Ocampo
Half-time 0–1
48′
🟨 Fali
54′
🟨 Brian Ocampo
54′
🟥 Brian Ocampo
S. Kaba 🔁
↦ Raúl Guti
61′
61′
🔁 R. Kouamé
↦ Carlos Fernández
61′
🔁 Chris Ramos
↦ Roger
Gerard Hernández 🔁
↦ Cristian Salvador
68′
Óscar Plano 🔁
↦ Álvaro Núñez
68′
John Donald 🔁
↦ D. Affengruber
69′
75′
🔁 Cristian Glauder
↦ Javi Ontiveros
M. El Ghezouani 🔁
↦ N. Castro
81′
1–1 Josan
José Salinas
82′
89′
🔁 Rubén Sobrino
↦ Iván Alejo
2–1 Yago Santiago
Josan
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Elche

4-3-3
13 M. Dituro G
15 Álvaro Núñez D
22 D. Affengruber D
6 Pedro Bigas D
12 José Salinas D
8 Raúl Guti M
20 Cristian Salvador M
21 N. Castro M
17 Josan F
9 A. Álvarez F
24 Yago Santiago F
Bench (12)
18 S. Kaba
31 Gerard Hernández
7 Óscar Plano
5 John Donald
19 M. El Ghezouani
36 R. Núñez
2 Mario Gaspar
35 A. Houary
23 Carlos Clerc
16 Álex Martín
30 Rodrigo Mendoza
1 Miguel San Román

Coach: Eder Sarabia

Cadiz

4-4-2
1 David Gil G
11 Iván Alejo D
14 B. Kovačević D
3 Fali D
18 José Matos D
10 B. Ocampo M
6 Fede San Emeterio M
8 Álex Fernández M
22 Javi Ontiveros M
9 Roger F
23 Carlos Fernández F
Bench (12)
12 R. Kouamé
16 Chris Ramos
24 Cristian Glauder
7 Rubén Sobrino
19 José de la Rosa
33 Julio Cabrera
29 Samu Almagro
15 F. Mwepu
13 José Antonio Caro
25 Óscar Melendo
36 Luis Morales
35 Juan Díaz

Coach: Paco López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,79
U
3,42
B
4,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,26
U2,5
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Miguel Sesma · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.