Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Waalwijk
Feyenoord
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | +44 | +23.4 | 42 |
| 2 |
Ajax
|
14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | +17 | +10.5 | 33 |
| 3 |
Utrecht
|
14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | +7 | -1.9 | 32 |
| 4 |
Feyenoord
|
14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | +18 | +14.6 | 29 |
| 5 |
Twente
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +10 | +11.8 | 28 |
| 6 |
NAC Breda
|
15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | -6 | -5.6 | 22 |
| 7 |
Go Ahead Eagles
|
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | +2 | +10.6 | 21 |
| 8 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +3 | +4.9 | 20 |
| 9 |
For Sittard
|
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -4 | +1.2 | 18 |
| 10 |
Nijmegen
|
15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | +2 | +3.2 | 16 |
| 11 |
Willem II
|
14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -1 | -10.2 | 16 |
| 12 |
Heerenveen
|
13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -5 | -3.3 | 15 |
| 13 |
Zwolle
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -9 | -12.1 | 15 |
| 14 |
Groningen
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -10 | -11.3 | 15 |
| 15 |
Heracles
|
14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -12 | -11.7 | 13 |
| 16 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -10 | +0.8 | 11 |
| 17 |
Waalwijk
|
14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -21 | -14.3 | 6 |
| 18 |
Almere City
|
14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -25 | -10.5 | 6 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
R. van Eijma
D
Y. Oukili
M
R. Margaret
M
O. Zawada
F
Coach: H. Fraser
G. Read
D
D. Hancko
D
Hwang In-Beom
M
Q. Timber
M
A. Hadj Moussa
F
S. Giménez
F
Igor Paixão
F
Coach: B. Priske
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Heerenveen
Waalwijk
Heracles
Waalwijk
Waalwijk
Nijmegen
Waalwijk
Almere City
Waalwijk
Vitesse
B Nijhuis · 128 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.