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Eredivisie
Referee: B Nijhuis
Waalwijk
S S T U U
2–3
Full-time
Feyenoord
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,3
4,2
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 32%
7%
57%
Points per game
0,4
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
71%
50%
Both score Ø 64%
57%
71%
Average goals
3,4
3,3
Scored
0,9
2,3
Conceded
2,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,11 xG 2,34
35% Possession 65%
11 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 2
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 15
0 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 3
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waalwijk 17. · Feyenoord 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 15 14 0 1 +44 +23.4 42
2 Ajax 14 10 3 1 +17 +10.5 33
3 Utrecht 14 10 2 2 +7 -1.9 32
4 Feyenoord 14 8 5 1 +18 +14.6 29
5 Twente 15 8 4 3 +10 +11.8 28
6 NAC Breda 15 7 1 7 -6 -5.6 22
7 Go Ahead Eagles 15 6 3 6 +2 +10.6 21
8 AZ Alkmaar 13 6 2 5 +3 +4.9 20
9 For Sittard 14 5 3 6 -4 +1.2 18
10 Nijmegen 15 5 1 9 +2 +3.2 16
11 Willem II 14 4 4 6 -1 -10.2 16
12 Heerenveen 13 4 3 6 -5 -3.3 15
13 Zwolle 14 4 3 7 -9 -12.1 15
14 Groningen 14 4 3 7 -10 -11.3 15
15 Heracles 14 3 4 7 -12 -11.7 13
16 Sparta Rotterdam 15 2 5 8 -10 +0.8 11
17 Waalwijk 14 1 3 10 -21 -14.3 6
18 Almere City 14 1 3 10 -25 -10.5 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waalwijk Feyenoord
1–0 O. Zawada
R. Margaret
12′
24′
Y. Oukili 2–0
own goal
J. Lelieveld 🔁
↦ D. Van den Buijs
38′
Half-time 2–1
49′
A. Hadj Moussa 2–1
A. Milambo
60′
🔁 C. Stengs
↦ A. Milambo
D. Cleonise 🔁
↦ S. van der Water
61′
R. Niemeijer 🔁
↦ T. van de Loo
61′
61′
🔁 I. Osman
↦ S. Giménez
69′
🔁 F. González
↦ G. Smal
70′
🔁 B. Nieuwkoop
↦ G. Read
3–1 Y. Oukili
72′
74′
Igor Paixão 3–2
Hwang In-Beom
78′
🔁 R. Zerrouki
↦ A. Hadj Moussa
M. Ihattaren 🔁
↦ G. Roemeratoe
81′
M. Kramer 🔁
↦ R. van Eijma
81′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Waalwijk

4-2-3-1
1 J. Houwen G
4 L. van Gelderen D
17 R. van Eijma D
3 D. Van den Buijs D
34 L. Wouters D
24 G. Roemeratoe M
6 Y. Oukili M
18 S. van der Water M
22 T. van de Loo M
19 R. Margaret M
9 O. Zawada F
Bench (11)
2 J. Lelieveld
7 D. Cleonise
10 R. Niemeijer
52 M. Ihattaren
29 M. Kramer
8 P. Vroegh
35 K. Felida
13 J. Kesting
14 C. Lokesa
33 F. Al Mazyani
31 L. Vogels

Coach: H. Fraser

Feyenoord

4-3-3
22 T. Wellenreuther G
26 G. Read D
3 T. Beelen D
33 D. Hancko D
5 G. Smal D
27 A. Milambo M
4 Hwang In-Beom M
8 Q. Timber M
23 A. Hadj Moussa F
29 S. Giménez F
14 Igor Paixão F
Bench (11)
10 C. Stengs
38 I. Osman
15 F. González
2 B. Nieuwkoop
6 R. Zerrouki
17 L. Ivanušec
21 P. Andreev
24 G. Zechiël
34 C. Nadje
49 Z. Redmond
1 J. Bijlow

Coach: B. Priske

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
11,46
U
6,61
B ✓
1,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,44
U2,5
2,74
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Nijhuis · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.