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Pro League

Referee: S Bourdeaud'hui

Genk

S S S U S

3–2

Full-time

Kortrijk

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Kortrijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

2,2

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 11/13 matches

Win Ø 44%

64%

23%

Points per game

2,1

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 76%

82%

69%

Both score Ø 51%

64%

38%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

2,2

0,7

Conceded

1,4

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,10 xG 1,38

72% Possession 28%

12 Shots 16

6 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 8

2 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 3. · Kortrijk 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	11	7	3	1	+18	+11.7	24
2	Antwerp	10	7	2	1	+17	+4.8	23
3	Genk	11	7	2	2	+9	+13.6	23
4	Anderlecht	11	5	5	1	+14	+7.6	20
5	Gent	11	5	3	3	+11	-1.6	18
6	St. Gilloise	10	3	5	2	+3	+5.7	14
7	Mechelen	11	4	2	5	+1	-1.2	14
8	Charleroi	10	4	2	4	+1	+2.3	14
9	Dender	11	3	5	3	-3	-4.6	14
10	Standard	10	4	2	4	-8	-5.8	14
11	St Truiden	13	3	4	6	-14	-4.1	13
12	Westerlo	11	3	3	5	+0	+1.3	12
13	Cercle Brugge	12	3	2	7	-13	-9.4	11
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	1	7	3	-3	+2.3	10
15	Kortrijk	13	3	1	9	-19	-10.0	10
16	Beerschot VA	12	1	4	7	-14	-12.6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	6	5	1	0	+10	+7.4	16
2	Antwerp	6	4	1	1	+14	+5.5	13
3	Standard	5	4	1	0	+4	-0.6	13
4	St Truiden	8	3	4	1	+1	+1.7	13
5	Gent	5	4	0	1	+12	+3.3	12
6	Anderlecht	6	3	3	0	+8	+3.5	12
7	Westerlo	7	3	2	2	+6	+7.4	11
8	Club Brugge	4	3	1	0	+13	+8.8	10
9	Mechelen	5	3	1	1	+6	+2.2	10
10	Charleroi	5	3	1	1	+4	+3.9	10
11	St. Gilloise	4	3	0	1	+4	+5.0	9
12	Kortrijk	6	3	0	3	-1	-0.3	9
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	1	5	1	+1	+2.4	8
14	Cercle Brugge	5	2	1	2	-3	-2.4	7
15	Beerschot VA	6	1	3	2	-1	-4.9	6
16	Dender	4	1	2	1	+2	+0.6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	7	4	2	1	+5	+2.8	14
2	Antwerp	4	3	1	0	+3	-0.7	10
3	Dender	7	2	3	2	-5	-5.2	9
4	Anderlecht	5	2	2	1	+6	+4.0	8
5	Genk	5	2	1	2	-1	+6.2	7
6	Gent	6	1	3	2	-1	-4.9	6
7	St. Gilloise	6	0	5	1	-1	+0.8	5
8	Charleroi	5	1	1	3	-3	-1.6	4
9	Mechelen	6	1	1	4	-5	-3.4	4
10	Cercle Brugge	7	1	1	5	-10	-7.0	4
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	0	2	2	-4	-0.1	2
12	Westerlo	4	0	1	3	-6	-6.2	1
13	Standard	5	0	1	4	-12	-5.2	1
14	Beerschot VA	6	0	1	5	-13	-7.7	1
15	Kortrijk	7	0	1	6	-18	-9.7	1
16	St Truiden	5	0	0	5	-15	-5.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.