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Ligue 1
Referee: F Letexier
Nice
U U S T T
2–1
Full-time
Le Havre
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Le Havre
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
83%
0%
Average goals
3,7
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 35%
38%
31%
Points per game
1,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
54%
46%
Both score Ø 46%
69%
23%
Average goals
3,1
2,6
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,03 xG 1,01
51% Possession 49%
17 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 8
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nice 6. · Le Havre 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 14 10 4 0 +26 +25.7 34
2 Monaco 14 9 2 3 +12 +16.3 29
3 Marseille 13 8 2 3 +12 -1.9 26
4 Lille 14 7 5 2 +10 +6.8 26
5 Lyon 13 6 4 3 +6 +5.8 22
6 Nice 13 5 5 3 +8 +7.5 20
7 Lens 13 5 5 3 +3 +6.2 20
8 Auxerre 14 6 2 6 +0 -7.2 20
9 Reims 13 5 3 5 +2 -4.7 18
10 Toulouse 14 5 3 6 -1 +7.3 18
11 Brest 14 5 1 8 -6 -9.6 16
12 Rennes 13 4 2 7 -1 +1.1 14
13 Strasbourg 13 3 4 6 -5 -7.2 13
14 Angers 13 3 4 6 -7 -5.1 13
15 St Etienne 13 4 1 8 -19 -12.0 13
16 Le Havre 13 4 0 9 -14 -9.9 12
17 Nantes 13 2 5 6 -5 -6.0 11
18 Montpellier 13 2 2 9 -21 -13.1 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Line-ups

Nice

4-3-1-2
1 M. Bułka G
20 T. Louchet D
8 P. Rosario D
64 M. Bombito D
42 Y. Nandjou D
10 S. Diop M
6 H. Boudaoui M
22 T. Ndombélé M
19 B. Bouanani M
24 G. Laborde F
29 E. Guessand F
Bench (9)
44 A. Doumbouya
7 J. Boga
36 I. Camara
15 Y. Moukoko
18 R. Ilie
48 L. Monteiro
41 I. Salhi
39 E. Pereira da Silva
31 M. Dupé

Coach: F. Haise

Le Havre

3-5-1-1
30 A. Desmas G
22 Y. Salmier D
6 É. Youté D
4 G. Lloris D
32 T. Pembélé M
94 A. Touré M
19 R. Ndiaye M
8 Y. Kechta M
27 C. Opéri M
5 O. Targhalline F
77 S. Ngoura F
Bench (9)
29 S. Grandsir
28 A. Ayew
46 I. Housni
18 Y. Zouaoui
14 D. Kuzyaev
1 M. Gorgelin
17 O. El Hajjam
25 A. Confais
7 L. Nego

Coach: D. Digard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,60
U
3,92
B
6,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,95
U2,5
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.