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Serie B
Referee: V Crezzini
Carrarese
U U T S T
1–0
Full-time
Palermo
U T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Carrarese Palermo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,8
1,5
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — Serie B · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 30%
27%
33%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 27%
33%
20%
Both score Ø 37%
33%
40%
Average goals
2,1
1,9
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
12 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 8
3 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Carrarese 16. · Palermo 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 15 10 4 1 +19 34
2 Spezia 15 8 6 1 +12 30
3 Pisa 15 8 5 2 +10 29
4 Cremonese 15 7 3 5 +6 24
5 Cesena 15 6 4 5 +3 22
6 Juve Stabia 16 5 7 4 -2 22
7 Bari 15 4 9 2 +5 21
8 Palermo 15 5 6 4 +4 21
9 Cosenza 15 4 8 3 +0 20
10 Brescia 15 5 4 6 -2 19
11 Mantova 15 4 6 5 -3 18
12 Catanzaro 15 2 11 2 +2 17
13 Sampdoria 15 4 5 6 -2 17
14 Modena 15 3 7 5 -1 16
15 Salernitana 15 4 4 7 -6 16
16 Carrarese 15 4 4 7 -6 16
17 Reggiana 15 3 6 6 -4 15
18 Cittadella 15 3 5 7 -11 14
19 Frosinone 15 2 7 6 -10 13
20 Sudtirol 16 4 1 11 -14 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Carrarese Palermo
Half-time 0–0
60′
🔁 M. Brunori
↦ T. Henry
61′
🔁 F. Di Francesco
↦ F. Di Mariano
61′
🔁 A. Vasić
↦ V. Verre
S. Zanon 🔁
↦ D. Bouah
67′
70′
🟨 Pietro Ceccaroni
72′
🔁 J. Le Douaron
↦ R. Insigne
Gabriele Guarino 🟨
73′
1–0 S. Shpendi
77′
Stiven Shpendi 🟨
79′
81′
🔁 J. Segre
↦ C. Gomes
M. Finotto 🔁
↦ L. Cerri
84′
F. Oliana 🔁
↦ G. Guarino
84′
A. Capello 🔁
↦ S. Shpendi
85′
R. Palmieri 🔁
↦ E. Zuelli
87′
Manuel Cicconi 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Carrarese

3-5-2
1 M. Bleve G
4 J. Illanes D
34 G. Guarino D
3 M. Imperiale D
13 D. Bouah M
17 E. Zuelli M
18 N. Schiavi M
20 S. Giovane M
11 M. Cicconi M
19 S. Shpendi F
90 L. Cerri F
Bench (12)
72 S. Zanon
32 M. Finotto
6 F. Oliana
28 A. Capello
8 R. Palmieri
24 N. Chiorra
10 G. Panico
77 N. Belloni
39 M. Motolese
9 L. Cherubini
25 F. Falco
82 L. Capezzi

Coach: A. Calabro

Palermo

4-1-4-1
1 S. Desplanches G
23 S. Diakité D
43 D. Nikolaou D
4 R. Baniya D
32 P. Ceccaroni D
6 C. Gomes M
11 R. Insigne M
26 V. Verre M
10 F. Ranocchia M
7 F. Di Mariano M
20 T. Henry F
Bench (12)
9 M. Brunori
17 F. Di Francesco
14 A. Vasić
21 J. Le Douaron
8 J. Segre
29 P. Peda
18 I. Nedelcearu
25 A. Buttaro
19 S. Appuah
12 M. Nespola
3 K. Lund
46 S. Sirigu

Coach: A. Dionisi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,30
U
3,12
B
2,26
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,15
U2,5 ✓
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

V Crezzini · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,04 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.