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Europa League
Referee: S Jablonski
Besiktas
U S S T T
2–1
Full-time
Malmo FF
U U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Malmo FF
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 5/3 matches
Win Ø 37%
40%
33%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
80%
33%
Both score Ø 47%
60%
33%
Average goals
4,2
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,91 xG 2,31
54% Possession 46%
14 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 3
7 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Besiktas Malmo FF
30′
🟨 Sergio Peña
Half-time 0–0
Arthur Masuaku 🟨
47′
Gabriel Paulista 🟨
69′
M. Rashica 🔁
↦ C. Ndour
72′
Al Musrati 🔁
↦ João Mário
72′
72′
🔁 T. Ali
↦ H. Bolin
73′
🔁 O. Berg
↦ I. Kiese Thelin
1–0 E. Muçi ⚽
J. Svensson
76′
E. Topçu 🔁
↦ Gabriel Paulista
84′
S. Uçan 🔁
↦ Rafa
84′
2–0 S. Kılıçsoy ⚽
E. Topçu
85′
86′
🔁 S. Rieks
↦ E. Botheim
86′
🔁 O. Rosengren
↦ S. Peña
93′
🟨 Pontus Jansson
93′
⚽ S. Rieks 2–1
A. Christiansen
95′
ℹ️ Søren Rieks
VAR: Goal confirmed
Semih Kılıçsoy 🟨
96′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
34 M. Günok G
2 J. Svensson D
3 Gabriel Paulista D
14 F. Uduokhai D
26 A. Masuaku D
73 C. Ndour M
83 Gedson Fernandes M
23 E. Muçi M
27 Rafa M
18 João Mário M
9 S. Kılıçsoy F
Bench (12)
7 M. Rashica
6 Al Musrati
53 E. Topçu
8 S. Uçan
91 M. Hekimoğlu
77 C. Keleş
94 G. Baytekin
71 J. Onana
30 E. Destanoğlu
4 O. Bulut
22 B. Zaynutdinov
5 T. Sanuç

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Malmo FF

4-2-3-1
1 Ricardo Friedrich G
19 C. Rösler D
18 P. Jansson D
35 N. Zätterström D
25 Gabriel Busanello D
23 L. Berg Johnsen M
8 S. Peña M
10 A. Christiansen M
20 E. Botheim M
38 H. Bolin M
9 I. Kiese Thelin F
Bench (12)
22 T. Ali
16 O. Berg
5 S. Rieks
7 O. Rosengren
37 A. Skogmar
34 Z. Loukili
6 O. Lewicki
13 M. Olsson
30 J. Persson
39 W. Lundgren
33 E. Makolli
32 D. Guðjohnsen

Coach: H. Rydström

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Jablonski · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.