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Süper Lig

Referee: A Kardeşler

Galatasaray

U U S S S

2–1

Full-time

Besiktas

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Besiktas

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

4,2

2,7

Scored

2,7

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 9/8 matches

Win Ø 82%

89%

75%

Points per game

2,8

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

89%

38%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,9

2,8

Scored

3,0

2,1

Conceded

0,9

0,6

Goal diff per game

+2,1

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,00 xG 0,59

39% Possession 61%

20 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 5

1 Offside 3

21 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Galatasaray 1. · Besiktas 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	9	8	1	0	+19	+6.4	25
2	Samsunspor	10	7	1	2	+10	+4.8	22
3	Fenerbahce	9	6	2	1	+13	+11.5	20
4	Besiktas	8	6	2	0	+12	+8.4	20
5	Eyüpspor	10	4	4	2	+4	-0.3	16
6	Goztep	9	4	3	2	+5	+1.1	15
7	Buyuksehyr	9	4	3	2	+4	+1.5	15
8	Sivasspor	10	4	2	4	+0	-6.3	14
9	Trabzonspor	9	2	6	1	+1	-1.6	12
10	Kasimpasa	10	2	5	3	-4	+1.3	11
11	Konyaspor	10	3	2	5	-5	-0.8	11
12	Antalyaspor	10	3	2	5	-8	-6.9	11
13	Bodrumspor	10	3	1	6	-5	-0.9	10
14	Rizespor	9	3	1	5	-10	-3.7	10
15	Gaziantep	9	2	3	4	-2	-2.4	9
16	Alanyaspor	10	2	3	5	-5	+1.0	9
17	Kayserispor	9	1	5	3	-6	-4.4	8
18	Hatayspor	9	0	3	6	-8	-6.1	3
19	Ad. Demirspor	9	0	1	8	-15	-2.8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	5	4	1	0	+9	+7.3	13
2	Goztep	5	4	1	0	+7	+0.9	13
3	Besiktas	4	4	0	0	+7	+5.7	12
4	Eyüpspor	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.2	10
5	Fenerbahce	4	3	0	1	+4	+6.2	9
6	Buyuksehyr	4	2	2	0	+5	+2.3	8
7	Trabzonspor	4	2	2	0	+2	-0.5	8
8	Samsunspor	5	2	1	2	+0	+1.7	7
9	Sivasspor	5	2	1	2	+0	-2.4	7
10	Antalyaspor	5	2	1	2	-3	-3.7	7
11	Bodrumspor	5	2	0	3	+1	+0.8	6
12	Alanyaspor	6	1	3	2	-1	+1.2	6
13	Gaziantep	4	1	2	1	+1	-0.8	5
14	Konyaspor	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.8	5
15	Rizespor	5	1	1	3	-6	-1.3	4
16	Kasimpasa	6	0	3	3	-6	+0.0	3
17	Kayserispor	4	0	2	2	-4	-2.1	2
18	Hatayspor	5	0	2	3	-5	-2.7	2
19	Ad. Demirspor	5	0	0	5	-11	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Samsunspor	5	5	0	0	+10	+3.1	15
2	Galatasaray	4	4	0	0	+10	-0.9	12
3	Fenerbahce	5	3	2	0	+9	+5.3	11
4	Besiktas	4	2	2	0	+5	+2.8	8
5	Kasimpasa	4	2	2	0	+2	+1.2	8
6	Sivasspor	5	2	1	2	+0	-3.9	7
7	Buyuksehyr	5	2	1	2	-1	-0.9	7
8	Eyüpspor	6	1	3	2	-1	-1.4	6
9	Kayserispor	5	1	3	1	-2	-2.3	6
10	Rizespor	4	2	0	2	-4	-2.4	6
11	Konyaspor	6	2	0	4	-5	-2.6	6
12	Trabzonspor	5	0	4	1	-1	-1.1	4
13	Gaziantep	5	1	1	3	-3	-1.6	4
14	Antalyaspor	5	1	1	3	-5	-3.2	4
15	Bodrumspor	5	1	1	3	-6	-1.7	4
16	Alanyaspor	4	1	0	3	-4	-0.2	3
17	Goztep	4	0	2	2	-2	+0.2	2
18	Hatayspor	4	0	1	3	-3	-3.4	1
19	Ad. Demirspor	4	0	1	3	-4	-1.8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.