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Süper Lig
Referee: K Sağlam
Ad. Demirspor
T T T T U
1–5
Full-time
Galatasaray
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Galatasaray
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,3
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
3,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–4

2,31 xG 2,32
42% Possession 58%
14 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 5
8 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ad. Demirspor 18. · Galatasaray 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 4 3 1 0 +9 +5.7 10
2 Eyüpspor 3 2 1 0 +4 -0.4 7
3 Besiktas 2 2 0 0 +4 +1.2 6
4 Galatasaray 2 2 0 0 +2 +2.2 6
5 Kasimpasa 4 1 2 1 +0 +0.7 5
6 Buyuksehyr 2 1 1 0 +2 -2.6 4
7 Sivasspor 3 1 1 1 +0 -1.6 4
8 Antalyaspor 3 1 1 1 -1 -1.6 4
9 Konyaspor 4 1 1 2 -2 -0.5 4
10 Rizespor 4 1 1 2 -5 +0.4 4
11 Goztep 3 0 3 0 +0 -0.6 3
12 Gaziantep 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.4 3
13 Samsunspor 2 1 0 1 -1 +0.7 3
14 Bodrumspor 3 1 0 2 -2 +1.2 3
15 Alanyaspor 4 0 2 2 -5 +0.8 2
16 Kayserispor 2 0 1 1 -1 +0.5 1
17 Hatayspor 3 0 1 2 -2 -4.4 1
18 Ad. Demirspor 3 0 1 2 -2 -1.9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ad. Demirspor Galatasaray
9′
K. Aktürkoğlu 0–1
M. Baltacı
18′
S. Güler 1–1
own goal
Abdulsamet Burak 🟨
19′
25′
🔁 M. Batshuayi
↦ M. Icardi
31′
B. Yılmaz 1–2
K. Aktürkoğlu
37′
D. Mertens 1–3
M. Batshuayi
Tayfun Aydoğan 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–3
B. Fougeu 🔁
↦ A. Burak
46′
Ali Yavuz Kol 🟨
50′
Y. Sarı 🔁
↦ A. Aymbetov
51′
60′
A. Bardakcı 1–4
K. Demirbay
Yusuf Sarı ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
63′
Yusuf Sarı
penalty missed
66′
T. Kalender 🔁
↦ N. Alioui
67′
S. Kavrazlı 🔁
↦ T. Aydoğan
68′
70′
🔁 Y. Akgün
↦ K. Aktürkoğlu
71′
🔁 B. Kutlu
↦ L. Torreira
O. Demirbag 🔁
↦ A. Kol
73′
2–4 A. Gravillon
79′
82′
🔁 Y. Demir
↦ B. Yılmaz
82′
🔁 E. Akman
↦ K. Ayhan
Tolga Kalender 🟥
90′
Tolga Kalender ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
90′
90′
Michy Batshuayi
penalty missed
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Ad. Demirspor

4-2-3-1
27 D. Dönmezer G
15 J. Manev D
4 S. Güler D
5 A. Gravillon D
23 A. Burak D
58 Maestro M
8 T. Aydoğan M
80 A. Kol M
10 N. Alioui M
21 B. Balat M
17 A. Aymbetov F
Bench (10)
93 B. Fougeu
7 Y. Sarı
55 T. Kalender
28 S. Kavrazlı
60 O. Demirbag
39 V. Karakuş
22 A. Aktaş
29 F. Shehu
91 K. Karayiğit
16 İ. Çelik

Coach: M. Valkanis

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 F. Muslera G
23 K. Ayhan D
90 M. Baltacı D
42 A. Bardakcı D
24 E. Jelert D
34 L. Torreira M
8 K. Demirbay M
53 B. Yılmaz M
10 D. Mertens M
7 K. Aktürkoğlu M
9 M. Icardi F
Bench (10)
44 M. Batshuayi
11 Y. Akgün
18 B. Kutlu
30 Y. Demir
83 E. Akman
22 H. Ziyech
19 G. Güvenç
72 A. Bülbül
5 E. Aydın
25 V. Nelsson

Coach: O. Buruk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,76
U
5,03
B ✓
1,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,39
U2,5
2,90
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Sağlam · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.