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Süper Lig
Referee: B Şeker
Ad. Demirspor
U T S T T
2–6
Full-time
Buyuksehyr
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Buyuksehyr
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 37%
27%
46%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
57%
38%
Both score Ø 50%
59%
41%
Average goals
2,9
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–4

1,33 xG 2,45
49% Possession 51%
13 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 1
2 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ad. Demirspor 12. · Buyuksehyr 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 37 32 3 2 +64 +46.3 99
2 Fenerbahce 37 30 6 1 +62 +59.2 96
3 Trabzonspor 37 20 4 13 +17 +1.6 64
4 Buyuksehyr 37 17 7 13 +10 +3.6 58
5 Besiktas 37 16 8 13 +6 +11.2 56
6 Sivasspor 38 14 12 12 -7 -7.8 54
7 Kasimpasa 37 15 8 14 -4 -7.9 53
8 Alanyaspor 38 12 16 10 +3 +8.4 52
9 Rizespor 38 14 8 16 -10 -7.9 50
10 Antalyaspor 38 12 13 13 -5 -9.2 49
11 Kayserispor 38 11 12 15 -13 -11.6 45
12 Ad. Demirspor 37 10 14 13 -3 -2.5 44
13 Samsunspor 38 11 10 17 -10 +5.5 43
14 Hatayspor 38 9 14 15 -7 -7.3 41
15 Gaziantep 37 11 8 18 -8 -12.3 41
16 Konyaspor 37 9 14 14 -11 -11.3 41
17 Karagumruk 38 10 10 18 -3 -14.4 40
18 Ankaragücü 37 8 16 13 -4 -5.5 40
19 Pendikspor 37 9 10 18 -30 -11.3 37
20 İstanbulspor 37 4 7 26 -47 -26.8 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ad. Demirspor Buyuksehyr
5′
K. Piątek 0–1
D. Türüç
13′
K. Piątek 0–2
O. Kemen
Abdulsamet Burak ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
35′
36′
🟨 Deniz Türüç
36′
🟨 Onur Ergün
1–2 T. Aydoğan
37′
40′
B. Özcan 1–3
D. Türüç
44′
Davidson 1–4
B. Özcan
Half-time 1–4
A. Aymbetov 🔁
↦ O. Demirbag
46′
M. Mohammadi 🔁
↦ Y. Atal
46′
68′
K. Piątek 1–5
69′
🔁 João Figueiredo
↦ L. Dubois
69′
🔁 S. Gürler
↦ Davidson
İ. Çelik 🔁
↦ D. Toköz
70′
70′
🔁 E. İlkhan
↦ K. Piątek
74′
🔁 B. Aydoğmuş
↦ O. Ergün
75′
🔁 Lucas Lima
↦ Ö. Şahiner
2–5 S. Mendoza
É. Michut
88′
S. Duyur 🔁
↦ T. Aydoğan
89′
B. Ersoy 🔁
↦ Maestro
89′
91′
João Figueiredo 2–6
Lucas Lima
Full-time 2–6

Line-ups

Ad. Demirspor

5-4-1
1 Y. Aktaş G
2 İ. Çokçalış D
5 A. Gravillon D
26 D. Toköz D
21 A. Burak D
31 Y. Atal D
11 S. Mendoza M
58 Maestro M
20 É. Michut M
60 O. Demirbag M
6 T. Aydoğan F
Bench (8)
17 A. Aymbetov
13 M. Mohammadi
16 İ. Çelik
73 S. Duyur
24 B. Ersoy
15 J. Manev
56 Y. Barası
27 D. Dönmezer

Coach: H. Karaman

Buyuksehyr

4-1-4-1
98 D. Dilmen G
20 O. Kemen D
65 H. Güreler D
3 J. Opoku D
15 L. Dubois D
4 O. Ergün M
23 D. Türüç M
42 Ö. Şahiner M
10 B. Özcan M
11 Davidson M
9 K. Piątek F
Bench (7)
25 João Figueiredo
7 S. Gürler
26 E. İlkhan
80 B. Aydoğmuş
6 Lucas Lima
1 V. Babacan
16 M. Şengezer

Coach: Ç. Atan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,72
U
3,99
B ✓
1,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,52
U2,5
2,42
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Şeker · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.