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Süper Lig

Referee: K Sağlam

Kayserispor

T S S S S

1–1

Full-time

Ad. Demirspor

S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Ad. Demirspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

50%

58%

Both score Ø 54%

58%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,9

Scored

1,4

1,9

Conceded

1,1

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,99 xG 0,69

53% Possession 47%

13 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

23 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kayserispor 6. · Ad. Demirspor 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	13	11	1	1	+18	+19.1	34
2	Fenerbahce	12	10	1	1	+23	+23.4	31
3	Ad. Demirspor	12	6	4	2	+11	+3.3	22
4	Trabzonspor	12	7	1	4	+7	-2.7	22
5	Besiktas	12	7	1	4	+4	+7.0	22
6	Kayserispor	12	6	4	2	+4	-2.8	22
7	Antalyaspor	12	5	3	4	+4	-0.3	18
8	Kasimpasa	13	5	3	5	-4	-3.7	18
9	Hatayspor	13	4	5	4	+3	+2.2	17
10	Rizespor	12	5	2	5	-6	-6.6	17
11	Ankaragücü	13	4	4	5	+0	-2.2	16
12	Gaziantep	13	5	0	8	-6	-4.4	15
13	Karagumruk	12	3	5	4	+3	-5.0	14
14	Sivasspor	12	3	5	4	-4	-0.2	14
15	Konyaspor	13	3	4	6	-5	-3.1	13
16	Pendikspor	12	3	4	5	-10	-5.8	13
17	Alanyaspor	13	2	4	7	-12	-5.7	10
18	Buyuksehyr	12	2	3	7	-8	-4.8	9
19	Samsunspor	12	2	2	8	-10	+2.0	8
20	İstanbulspor	13	2	2	9	-12	-9.8	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ad. Demirspor	7	6	1	0	+14	+5.4	19
2	Galatasaray	6	6	0	0	+11	+11.7	18
3	Besiktas	6	5	1	0	+8	+6.6	16
4	Fenerbahce	6	5	0	1	+12	+12.9	15
5	Trabzonspor	6	5	0	1	+6	+1.5	15
6	Kayserispor	6	4	2	0	+6	+3.2	14
7	Hatayspor	6	3	2	1	+3	+2.3	11
8	Antalyaspor	6	3	2	1	+2	-0.9	11
9	Rizespor	6	3	2	1	+2	+0.0	11
10	Kasimpasa	7	3	1	3	-3	-2.3	10
11	Karagumruk	7	2	3	2	+3	-2.4	9
12	Gaziantep	6	3	0	3	-1	-0.5	9
13	Konyaspor	7	2	2	3	+0	-0.3	8
14	Ankaragücü	6	2	2	2	+0	+1.3	8
15	Alanyaspor	7	2	2	3	-2	+0.1	8
16	Samsunspor	5	2	1	2	-1	+2.1	7
17	İstanbulspor	7	2	1	4	-4	-6.2	7
18	Pendikspor	6	1	2	3	-9	-6.8	5
19	Buyuksehyr	5	1	1	3	-2	-2.6	4
20	Sivasspor	6	0	4	2	-3	+1.8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	6	5	1	0	+11	+10.5	16
2	Galatasaray	7	5	1	1	+7	+7.5	16
3	Sivasspor	6	3	1	2	-1	-2.0	10
4	Ankaragücü	7	2	2	3	+0	-3.5	8
5	Pendikspor	6	2	2	2	-1	+1.0	8
6	Kasimpasa	6	2	2	2	-1	-1.4	8
7	Kayserispor	6	2	2	2	-2	-5.9	8
8	Antalyaspor	6	2	1	3	+2	+0.6	7
9	Trabzonspor	6	2	1	3	+1	-4.2	7
10	Hatayspor	7	1	3	3	+0	-0.0	6
11	Besiktas	6	2	0	4	-4	+0.4	6
12	Gaziantep	7	2	0	5	-5	-3.9	6
13	Rizespor	6	2	0	4	-8	-6.7	6
14	Karagumruk	5	1	2	2	+0	-2.6	5
15	Konyaspor	6	1	2	3	-5	-2.8	5
16	Buyuksehyr	7	1	2	4	-6	-2.1	5
17	Ad. Demirspor	5	0	3	2	-3	-2.1	3
18	Alanyaspor	6	0	2	4	-10	-5.8	2
19	İstanbulspor	6	0	1	5	-8	-3.6	1
20	Samsunspor	7	0	1	6	-9	-0.1	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.