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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: T Ahmed
Stabaek
T S S U T
1–2
Full-time
Raufoss
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Raufoss
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 41%
43%
38%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
76%
43%
Both score Ø 55%
62%
48%
Average goals
4,0
2,3
Scored
2,1
1,1
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Stabaek 5. · Raufoss 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Valerenga 21 15 3 3 +33 48
2 Bryne 21 13 2 6 +14 41
3 Moss 20 11 2 7 +5 35
4 Egersund 22 10 5 7 +2 35
5 Stabaek 21 9 6 6 +3 33
6 Lyn 21 8 8 5 +14 32
7 Kongsvinger 19 8 7 4 +0 31
8 Sogndal 22 8 6 8 +3 30
9 Raufoss 21 8 5 8 -1 29
10 Ranheim 22 7 6 9 +0 27
11 Levanger 21 5 9 7 +2 24
12 Asane 21 6 6 9 -6 24
13 Mjondalen 21 5 6 10 -7 21
14 Start 21 5 5 11 -15 20
15 Aalesund 21 5 4 12 -14 19
16 Sandnes ULF 21 3 4 14 -33 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stabaek Raufoss
6′
🟨 J. Orsahl
27′
R. Nelson 0–1
28′
🟨 R. Nelson
S. Olderheim 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–1
A. Matić 🔁
↦ M. Christensen
46′
1–1 B. Diabaté
56′
58′
🟨 J. Walemark
63′
E. Hustad 1–2
67′
🟨 S. Nordbo
O. Spiten-Nysæter 🔁
↦ S. Olderheim
71′
O. Veum 🔁
↦ N. Walstad
72′
77′
🟨 V. Fors
K. Ekorness 🔁
↦ J. Øya
78′
78′
🔁 Y. Agyeman
↦ J. Lynum
H. Geelmuyden 🔁
↦ T. Roberts
85′
85′
🔁 A. Hansen
↦ V. Fors
88′
🔁 E. Furaha
↦ E. Hustad
88′
🔁 M. Fagernes
↦ R. Nelson
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Stabaek

1 S. Rossbach
4 N. Næss
3 J. Øya
11 N. Walstad
6 M. Christensen
14 T. Roberts
20 A. Andresen
7 R. Vinge
17 S. Olderheim
8 M. Dahlby
9 B. Diabaté
Bench (8)
33 A. Matić
21 O. Spiten-Nysæter
15 O. Veum
29 K. Ekorness
10 H. Geelmuyden
23 M. Ulla
27 W. Wendt
28 B. Tobiassen

Coach: B. Bradley

Raufoss

1 O. Lauvli
15 K. Hay
77 M. Alm
16 J. Ørsahl
4 J. Lynum
8 R. Nelson
22 V. Fors
26 A. Hadzic
17 S. Nordbø
18 K. Somesi
9 E. Hustad
Bench (7)
21 Y. Agyeman
2 A. Hansen
23 E. Furaha
19 M. Fagernes
27 O. Sangnes
28 P. Jensen
3 A. Hussein

Coach: J. Wålemark

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.