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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: Eivind Bodding
Raufoss
T T T U U
1–0
Full-time
Stabaek
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Raufoss Stabaek
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
29%
43%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 57%
71%
43%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Raufoss 11. · Stabaek 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 7 5 2 0 +10 17
2 Odd 7 4 1 2 +4 13
3 Egersund 6 4 1 1 +4 13
4 Start 7 4 1 2 +3 13
5 Aalesund 6 3 3 0 +5 12
6 Sogndal 7 4 0 3 +2 12
7 Stabaek 7 3 2 2 +1 11
8 Kongsvinger 7 3 1 3 +6 10
9 Ranheim 7 3 1 3 -1 10
10 hodd 7 3 1 3 -2 10
11 Raufoss 7 2 3 2 -1 9
12 Moss 7 3 0 4 -6 9
13 Asane 7 1 3 3 -4 6
14 Lyn 7 1 1 5 -3 4
15 Skeid 7 0 2 5 -8 2
16 Mjondalen 7 0 2 5 -10 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Raufoss Stabaek
1–0 R. Nelson
K. Hay
10′
Half-time 1–0
55′
🔁 K. Onsrud
↦ K. Kostadinov
J. Orsahl 🟨
56′
J. Lynum 🔁
↦ J. Orsahl
65′
K. Somesi 🔁
↦ O. Sveen
65′
E. Aarflot 🔁
↦ J. Ampofo
65′
66′
🔁 K. Opseth
↦ S. Olderheim
66′
🔁 F. Ellegaard
↦ M. Lankhof-Dahlby
Y. Agyeman 🔁
↦ T. Engebakken
75′
76′
🔁 H. Geelmuyden
↦ J. Isaksen
76′
🔁 M. Nielsen
↦ K. Pedersen
K. Badjie 🔁
↦ M. Aanesland
91′
V. Fors 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Eivind Bodding · 19 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.