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Süper Lig
Referee: H Meler
Ankaragücü
T T S T S
0–3
Full-time
Fenerbahce
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ankaragücü Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,8
Scored
1,5
2,7
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,5
This season — Süper Lig · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
25%
63%
Points per game
0,9
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
75%
63%
Both score Ø 57%
75%
38%
Average goals
2,9
4,4
Scored
1,1
3,1
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

54% Possession 46%
8 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 2
6 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ankaragücü 15. · Fenerbahce 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ad. Demirspor 10 6 3 1 +10 21
2 Buyuksehyr 9 6 2 1 +10 20
3 Besiktas 10 5 4 1 +7 19
4 Konyaspor 10 5 3 2 +6 18
5 Trabzonspor 10 5 3 2 +2 18
6 Fenerbahce 8 5 2 1 +15 17
7 Galatasaray 9 5 2 2 +3 17
8 Kayserispor 10 5 1 4 +4 16
9 Gaziantep 10 4 3 3 +3 15
10 Kasimpasa 10 4 1 5 -10 13
11 Alanyaspor 10 3 3 4 -5 12
12 Karagumruk 9 2 3 4 -1 9
13 Giresunspor 8 2 2 4 -4 8
14 İstanbulspor 9 2 2 5 -8 8
15 Ankaragücü 8 2 1 5 -5 7
16 Sivasspor 9 1 4 4 -5 7
17 Antalyaspor 9 2 1 6 -7 7
18 Hatayspor 9 2 1 6 -9 7
19 Ümraniyespor 9 0 3 6 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ankaragücü Fenerbahce
3′
M. Batshuayi-Atunga 0–1
25′
İ. Kahveci 0–2
E. Valencia
Ali Sowe ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
29′
Half-time 0–2
Kévin Malcuit 🟨
46′
Yasin Güreler 🟨
47′
57′
🟨 Bright Osayi-Samuel
O. Ceylan 🔁
↦ K. Malcuit
60′
T. Chatzigiovanis 🔁
↦ Jesé
60′
66′
🔁 D. Rossi
↦ E. Valencia
66′
🔁 João Pedro
↦ M. Batshuayi-Atunga
Pedrinho 🔁
↦ G. Beridze
71′
72′
🔁 İ. Yüksek
↦ İ. Kahveci
F. Macheda 🔁
↦ T. Antalyalı
78′
Marlon 🔁
↦ Y. Güreler
78′
91′
D. Rossi 0–3
94′
🔁 A. Güler
↦ Lincoln
94′
🔁 E. Alioski
↦ B. Osayi-Samuel
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Ankaragücü

4-2-3-1
32 G. Akkan G
24 K. Malcuit D
26 U. Radaković D
18 N. Mujakić D
17 Y. Güreler D
48 T. Antalyalı M
30 T. Ciğerci M
21 G. Beridze M
54 E. Kılınç M
10 Jesé M
22 A. Sowe F
Bench (10)
77 O. Ceylan
7 T. Chatzigiovanis
8 Pedrinho
11 F. Macheda
3 Marlon
14 L. Diack
4 A. Çankaya
99 B. Güngördü
6 Ş. Çetin
88 F. Üzüm

Coach: Ö. Erdoğan

Fenerbahce

3-1-4-2
1 A. Bayındır G
4 S. Aziz D
2 Gustavo Henrique D
41 A. Szalai D
27 Miguel Crespo M
21 B. Osayi-Samuel M
17 İ. Kahveci M
18 Lincoln M
7 F. Kadıoğlu M
23 M. Batshuayi-Atunga F
13 E. Valencia F
Bench (10)
9 D. Rossi
20 João Pedro
80 İ. Yüksek
10 A. Güler
6 E. Alioski
94 Y. Demir
33 Ç. Kurukalıp
69 Y. Kocatürk
70 İ. Eğribayat
19 S. Dursun

Coach: Jorge Jesus

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,85
U
3,99
B ✓
1,65
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,21
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

H Meler · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.