OBOS-ligaen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Moss
Asane
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Valerenga
|
26 | 18 | 5 | 3 | +43 | 59 |
| 2 |
Bryne
|
26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | +17 | 49 |
| 3 |
Egersund
|
25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | +3 | 41 |
| 4 |
Raufoss
|
26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +2 | 40 |
| 5 |
Moss
|
24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | +6 | 39 |
| 6 |
Stabaek
|
26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | +3 | 39 |
| 7 |
Lyn
|
24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | +16 | 38 |
| 8 |
Kongsvinger
|
23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | -3 | 36 |
| 9 |
Start
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -7 | 33 |
| 10 |
Ranheim
|
25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 32 |
| 11 |
Sogndal
|
26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | -2 | 30 |
| 12 |
Aalesund
|
26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | -11 | 28 |
| 13 |
Asane
|
25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | -9 | 27 |
| 14 |
Levanger
|
26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | -2 | 26 |
| 15 |
Mjondalen
|
26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | -14 | 25 |
| 16 |
Sandnes ULF
|
26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -43 | 17 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Bryne
Moss
Moss
Sandnes ULF
Ranheim
Moss
Kongsvinger
Moss
Moss
Mjondalen
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.