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Süper Lig

Referee: M Güzenge

Ankaragücü

U T S U T

3–0

Full-time

Kayserispor

S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ankaragücü Kayserispor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 22%

14%

29%

Points per game

0,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

43%

29%

Both score Ø 72%

86%

57%

Average goals

2,7

1,7

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,4

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,68 xG 0,20

47% Possession 53%

12 Shots 4

8 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

1 Corners 3

3 Offside 2

1 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ankaragücü 14. · Kayserispor 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	7	7	0	0	+15	+13.0	21
2	Galatasaray	7	6	1	0	+10	+10.1	19
3	Ad. Demirspor	8	5	2	1	+10	+4.1	17
4	Besiktas	7	4	1	2	+1	+4.2	13
5	Trabzonspor	8	4	0	4	+4	-0.7	12
6	Kasimpasa	7	3	3	1	-1	+0.2	12
7	Hatayspor	7	2	5	0	+5	+2.1	11
8	Rizespor	7	3	2	2	-3	-1.9	11
9	Kayserispor	7	2	4	1	+2	-1.4	10
10	Sivasspor	8	2	4	2	-1	+1.0	10
11	Alanyaspor	8	2	4	2	-2	-1.6	10
12	Antalyaspor	7	2	3	2	+1	+1.0	9
13	Konyaspor	7	2	3	2	+0	-1.0	9
14	Ankaragücü	7	1	3	3	-1	-2.7	6
15	Karagumruk	8	1	3	4	-2	-5.3	6
16	Gaziantep	7	2	0	5	-7	-8.2	6
17	Buyuksehyr	7	1	1	5	-8	-1.8	4
18	Pendikspor	8	0	4	4	-9	-5.5	4
19	İstanbulspor	6	0	2	4	-6	-5.9	2
20	Samsunspor	6	0	1	5	-8	+0.4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ad. Demirspor	5	5	0	0	+11	+4.1	15
2	Fenerbahce	4	4	0	0	+11	+9.6	12
3	Galatasaray	3	3	0	0	+5	+5.3	9
4	Trabzonspor	4	3	0	1	+4	+2.1	9
5	Kayserispor	4	2	2	0	+3	+1.1	8
6	Alanyaspor	5	2	2	1	+2	+0.6	8
7	Besiktas	3	2	1	0	+3	+3.2	7
8	Kasimpasa	4	2	1	1	-2	+0.6	7
9	Antalyaspor	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.0	5
10	Hatayspor	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.2	5
11	Rizespor	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.7	5
12	Konyaspor	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.1	4
13	Sivasspor	4	0	3	1	-2	+0.8	3
14	Gaziantep	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.5	3
15	Ankaragücü	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.7	2
16	Karagumruk	4	0	2	2	-2	-3.1	2
17	Pendikspor	4	0	2	2	-5	-3.8	2
18	İstanbulspor	4	0	1	3	-4	-5.1	1
19	Samsunspor	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.1	0
20	Buyuksehyr	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	4	3	1	0	+5	+4.7	10
2	Fenerbahce	3	3	0	0	+4	+3.3	9
3	Sivasspor	4	2	1	1	+1	+0.1	7
4	Hatayspor	4	1	3	0	+4	+2.4	6
5	Besiktas	4	2	0	2	-2	+1.0	6
6	Rizespor	4	2	0	2	-4	-3.6	6
7	Kasimpasa	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.4	5
8	Konyaspor	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.9	5
9	Ankaragücü	4	1	1	2	+0	-3.4	4
10	Karagumruk	4	1	1	2	+0	-2.2	4
11	Antalyaspor	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.0	4
12	Buyuksehyr	4	1	1	2	-4	-0.1	4
13	Trabzonspor	4	1	0	3	+0	-2.8	3
14	Gaziantep	4	1	0	3	-4	-6.6	3
15	Ad. Demirspor	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.0	2
16	Kayserispor	3	0	2	1	-1	-2.5	2
17	Pendikspor	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.7	2
18	Alanyaspor	3	0	2	1	-4	-2.2	2
19	İstanbulspor	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.9	1
20	Samsunspor	4	0	1	3	-5	+0.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.