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Süper Lig
Referee: Bahattin Simsek
Ankaragücü
S T S T U
0–1
Full-time
Kayserispor
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ankaragücü Kayserispor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,2
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
This season — Süper Lig · 2/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,5
2,3
Scored
0,5
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
14 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ankaragücü 16. · Kayserispor 14. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Karagumruk 3 2 1 0 +5 7
2 Alanyaspor 3 2 1 0 +4 7
3 Galatasaray 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Antalyaspor 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Hatayspor 3 2 1 0 +3 7
6 Erzurumspor 3 2 0 1 +2 6
7 Goztep 3 1 2 0 +4 5
8 Fenerbahce 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Konyaspor 2 1 1 0 +3 4
10 Trabzonspor 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Besiktas 3 1 1 1 -1 4
12 Sivasspor 3 1 1 1 -1 4
13 Kasimpasa 3 1 0 2 +0 3
14 Kayserispor 3 1 0 2 -3 3
15 Gaziantep 3 0 2 1 -2 2
16 Ankaragücü 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Genclerbirligi 2 0 1 1 -2 1
18 Rizespor 3 0 1 2 -3 1
19 Yeni Malatyaspor 3 0 1 2 -5 1
20 Denizlispor 3 0 1 2 -5 1
21 Buyuksehyr 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ankaragücü Kayserispor
42′
⚽ İ. Parlak 0–1
Half-time 0–1
I. Voca 🔁
↦ D. Łukasik
46′
Alper Potuk 🟨
48′
55′
🟨 Yasir Subaşı
S. Lobzhanidze 🔁
↦ L. Adžić
65′
75′
🔁 Y. Ackah
↦ İ. Parlak
E. Güral 🔁
↦ A. Potuk
78′
80′
🔁 M. Çelik
↦ H. Acar
O. Çınar 🔁
↦ J. Paintsil
86′
88′
🟨 Muğdat Çelik
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Ankaragücü

4-2-3-1
25 Ricardo Friedrich G
2 M. Pazdan D
8 Tiago Pinto D
70 S. Kitsiou D
4 E. Dikmen D
20 A. Potuk M
35 D. Łukasik M
14 A. Dioussé M
7 L. Adžić M
22 T. Børven F
28 J. Paintsil M
Bench (10)
42 I. Voca
11 S. Lobzhanidze
77 E. Güral
10 O. Çınar
13 A. Kulusic
89 A. Turan
1 K. Çelikay
18 Ş. Çetin
19 C. Karayel
6 A. Çankaya

Coach: F. Çapa

Kayserispor

4-3-1-2
33 S. Lung G
22 C. Săpunaru D
13 Miguel Lopes D
4 D. Kolovetsios D
32 Y. Subaşı D
88 Gustavo Campanharo M
18 Z. Kvržić M
3 J. Attamah M
8 H. Acar M
23 İ. Parlak F
9 W. Kanga F
Bench (9)
89 Y. Ackah
11 M. Çelik
25 A. Lennon
16 D. Alemdar
17 N. Korkmaz
14 E. Demir
5 O. Çapar
1 İ. Çipe
30 A. Doğan

Coach: B. Bektaş

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,97
U
3,48
B ✓
3,69
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
1,80
U2,5 ✓
2,00
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

Bahattin Simsek · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,40 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.