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Süper Lig
Referee: C Aydın
Kayserispor
T S U T T
0–1
Full-time
Ankaragücü
U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Ankaragücü
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 38%
44%
32%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
71%
56%
Both score Ø 56%
50%
62%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%
8 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kayserispor 8. · Ankaragücü 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 34 26 4 4 +50 82
2 Fenerbahce 34 24 5 5 +45 77
3 Besiktas 34 22 8 4 +39 74
4 Ad. Demirspor 34 19 9 6 +31 66
5 Buyuksehyr 34 16 8 10 +14 56
6 Trabzonspor 34 16 6 12 +8 54
7 Konyaspor 35 12 14 9 +8 50
8 Kayserispor 34 15 4 15 -5 49
9 Karagumruk 35 12 12 11 +9 48
10 Kasimpasa 34 12 7 15 -10 43
11 Alanyaspor 35 11 8 16 -12 41
12 Sivasspor 35 11 7 17 -8 40
13 Ankaragücü 34 11 6 17 -10 39
14 Antalyaspor 34 10 8 16 -10 38
15 İstanbulspor 35 11 5 19 -20 38
16 Giresunspor 34 8 10 16 -21 34
17 Ümraniyespor 35 8 9 18 -9 33
18 Gaziantep 36 6 7 23 -41 25
19 Hatayspor 34 6 5 23 -58 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kayserispor Ankaragücü
12′
🟨 Atakan Cankaya
24′
S. Kitsiou 0–1
Milson
Half-time 0–1
R. Civelek 🔁
↦ M. Gavranović
64′
66′
🔁 L. Diack
↦ Milson
İ. Parlak 🔁
↦ Carlos Mané
79′
B. Eskin 🔁
↦ B. Gezek
79′
80′
🔁 T. Chatzigiovanis
↦ E. Kılınç
T. Sarıarslan 🔁
↦ D. Kolovetsios
84′
90′
🔁 A. Kızıldağ
↦ T. Antalyalı
91′
🔁 H. Kaldırım
↦ M. Hanousek
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Kayserispor

4-4-2
25 B. Bayazıt G
11 G. Sazdağı D
5 M. Hosseini D
4 D. Kolovetsios D
3 J. Attamah D
80 A. Uzodimma M
26 B. Gezek M
10 O. Kemen M
20 Carlos Mané M
27 M. Thiam F
19 M. Gavranović F
Bench (10)
28 R. Civelek
23 İ. Parlak
24 B. Eskin
30 T. Sarıarslan
40 M. Arıkan
32 E. Balcı
35 M. Dinç
39 Ş. Öztürk
34 A. Malatyalı
54 A. Kocaman

Coach: Ç. Atan

Ankaragücü

3-4-2-1
32 G. Akkan G
24 K. Malcuit D
4 A. Çankaya D
18 N. Mujakić D
17 S. Kitsiou M
16 A. Đokanović M
48 T. Antalyalı M
5 M. Hanousek M
54 E. Kılınç F
70 Milson F
22 A. Sowe F
Bench (10)
14 L. Diack
7 T. Chatzigiovanis
33 H. Kaldırım
37 A. Kızıldağ
26 U. Radaković
21 G. Beridze
88 F. Üzüm
80 S. İmdat
99 B. Güngördü
77 G. Töre

Coach: T. Kafkas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,31
U
3,55
B ✓
2,90
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,62
U2,5 ✓
2,28
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Aydın · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.