OBOS-ligaen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Kongsvinger
Start
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Kongsvinger
|
13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | +8 | 27 |
| 2 |
Fredrikstad
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | +7 | 25 |
| 3 |
Sogndal
|
14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 24 |
| 4 |
KFUM Oslo
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 22 |
| 5 |
Kristiansund
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +6 | 22 |
| 6 |
Jerv
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 21 |
| 7 |
Start
|
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +6 | 20 |
| 8 |
Ranheim
|
13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 20 |
| 9 |
Moss
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 19 |
| 10 |
Mjondalen
|
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 |
Sandnes ULF
|
14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |
hodd
|
14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -4 | 14 |
| 13 |
Raufoss
|
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 |
Bryne
|
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 |
Asane
|
14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -5 | 10 |
| 16 |
Skeid
|
14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -15 | 10 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Moss
Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger
Ranheim
Asane
Kongsvinger
Gjøvik-Lyn
Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger
Sogndal
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.