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Superligaen

Referee: M Redder

Midtjylland

S T S S S

2–1

Full-time

Randers FC

T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Randers FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

0,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 50%

56%

44%

Points per game

2,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

56%

44%

Both score Ø 50%

56%

44%

Average goals

3,9

2,7

Scored

2,6

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,63 xG 1,26

58% Possession 42%

12 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Midtjylland 3. · Randers FC 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	10	7	2	1	+11	+6.6	23
2	FC Copenhagen	10	6	2	2	+10	+8.2	20
3	Midtjylland	9	5	3	1	+11	+1.6	18
4	Brondby	10	6	0	4	+5	+6.7	18
5	Randers FC	9	4	1	4	-2	-0.2	13
6	Viborg	10	4	0	6	-3	-1.9	12
7	Nordsjaelland	10	4	0	6	-6	-2.6	12
8	Sonderjyske	10	3	2	5	-3	-5.6	11
9	Fredericia	10	3	2	5	-4	-6.0	11
10	Silkeborg	10	3	2	5	-6	-2.7	11
11	Odense	10	3	2	5	-10	+1.7	11
12	Vejle	10	1	4	5	-3	-5.7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	6	4	0	2	+5	+4.6	12
2	Midtjylland	5	3	2	0	+8	+4.0	11
3	Aarhus	5	3	1	1	+4	+6.7	10
4	Odense	5	3	0	2	-1	+3.3	9
5	Sonderjyske	5	2	1	2	+1	-3.9	7
6	Silkeborg	5	2	1	2	-1	+2.2	7
7	Fredericia	5	2	1	2	-1	-1.0	7
8	Viborg	5	2	0	3	-1	-1.5	6
9	Randers FC	4	2	0	2	-2	-1.8	6
10	Nordsjaelland	5	2	0	3	-2	+0.3	6
11	FC Copenhagen	4	1	2	1	+1	+5.3	5
12	Vejle	5	1	2	2	+1	-2.4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	6	5	0	1	+9	+2.9	15
2	Aarhus	5	4	1	0	+7	-0.1	13
3	Midtjylland	4	2	1	1	+3	-2.4	7
4	Randers FC	5	2	1	2	+0	+1.6	7
5	Brondby	4	2	0	2	+0	+2.1	6
6	Viborg	5	2	0	3	-2	-0.5	6
7	Nordsjaelland	5	2	0	3	-4	-3.0	6
8	Fredericia	5	1	1	3	-3	-5.0	4
9	Sonderjyske	5	1	1	3	-4	-1.7	4
10	Silkeborg	5	1	1	3	-5	-4.8	4
11	Vejle	5	0	2	3	-4	-3.3	2
12	Odense	5	0	2	3	-9	-1.6	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.