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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: S Sletner
Fredrikstad
S T T U T
3–1
Full-time
Ranheim
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredrikstad Ranheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,3
4,5
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,7
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 28/29 matches
Win Ø 39%
46%
31%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
71%
72%
Both score Ø 72%
75%
69%
Average goals
3,4
3,9
Scored
2,0
1,9
Conceded
1,4
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Fredrikstad 4. · Ranheim 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ham-Kam 29 20 6 3 +40 66
2 Aalesund 29 16 10 3 +26 58
3 Jerv 28 15 8 5 +6 53
4 Fredrikstad 28 13 7 8 +15 46
5 Sogndal 28 11 9 8 +8 42
6 Asane 29 11 6 12 -9 39
7 Sandnes ULF 29 10 8 11 -6 38
8 Start 29 10 7 12 +0 37
9 Bryne 29 11 4 14 -2 37
10 KFUM Oslo 26 10 7 9 -3 37
11 Raufoss 29 10 4 15 -3 34
12 Ranheim 29 9 7 13 -4 34
13 Grorud 29 10 4 15 -13 34
14 Stjørdals-Blink 29 7 7 15 -19 28
15 Ull/Kisa 29 6 8 15 -17 26
16 Strommen 29 3 12 14 -19 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fredrikstad Ranheim
T. Drage 🟨
28′
1–0 H. Åsheim
36′
Half-time 1–1
47′
E. Melkersen 1–1
S. Molde 🟨
54′
N. Solberg 🔁
↦ R. Alba
61′
O. Øby 🔁
↦ H. Åsheim
61′
N. Williams 🔁
↦ T. Drage
61′
A. Hadzic 🔁
↦ J. Lindström
61′
2–1 H. Johansen
70′
3–1 T. Ismaheel
72′
73′
🟨 H. C. Kamanzi W.
74′
🟨 M. Mehnert
Maikel 🔁
↦ T. Ismaheel
78′
78′
🔁 M. Karlsen
↦ R. Williams
78′
🔁 F. Brattbakk
↦ V. Erlien
78′
🔁 S. Solli
↦ W. Kamanzi
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Fredrikstad

1 H. Jensen
4 S. Molde
26 M. Nielsen
5 P. Aukland
23 A. Aleesami
7 T. Drage
14 J. Lindström
20 H. Åsheim
9 H. Johansen
15 R. Alba
12 T. Ismaheel
Bench (9)
6 N. Solberg
19 O. Øby
24 N. Williams
28 A. Hadzic
11 Maikel
2 A. Hansen
13 A. Karstensen
18 L. Begby
21 O. Jansson

Coach: B. Johansen

Ranheim

1 M. Lenes
16 R. Williams
12 W. Kamanzi
17 M. Ceide
10 V. Erlien
21 J. Tromsdal
14 S. Marklund
8 R. Alte
25 A. Bartel
11 M. Mehnert
20 E. Melkersen
Bench (5)
9 M. Karlsen
18 F. Brattbakk
22 S. Solli
24 N. Aarmo
92 E. Sjøli

Coach: S. Maalen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.