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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: S Hauge
Start
S T S T U
1–0
Full-time
Fredrikstad
U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Start Fredrikstad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 15/16 matches
Win Ø 36%
40%
31%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
53%
56%
Both score Ø 46%
47%
44%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Start 8. · Fredrikstad 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 16 13 3 0 +38 42
2 Ranheim 16 9 4 3 +8 31
3 Stabaek 16 7 7 2 +13 28
4 Sogndal 16 8 4 4 +6 28
5 Sandnes ULF 15 9 1 5 +2 28
6 Mjondalen 16 8 3 5 -2 27
7 Raufoss 16 7 5 4 -1 26
8 Start 15 6 5 4 +10 23
9 KFUM Oslo 15 6 4 5 +1 22
10 Fredrikstad 16 5 6 5 +0 21
11 Asane 16 4 5 7 -16 17
12 Bryne 16 4 4 8 -4 16
13 Kongsvinger 13 3 5 5 +1 14
14 Skeid 16 2 1 13 -16 7
15 Grorud 16 0 6 10 -18 6
16 Stjørdals-Blink 16 1 3 12 -22 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Start Fredrikstad
1–0 P. Reinhardsen
29′
B. Antonsson 🟨
43′
45′
🟨 J. Lindstrom
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 O. Okeke
↦ N. Williams
S. Svela 🔁
↦ J. Tveita
50′
60′
🔁 N. Solberg
↦ O. Øby
60′
🔁 I. Kingsley
↦ S. Molde
S. Sjøkvist 🔁
↦ E. Schulze
73′
Basilio Ndong 🔁
↦ H. Robstad
73′
J. Gregersen 🔁
↦ E. Derviskadic
73′
73′
🔁 T. Johansen
↦ A. Hansen
V. Bergan 🔁
↦ M. Grundetjern
87′
87′
🔁 M. Solhaug Wenneberg
↦ R. Alba
88′
🟨 I. Kingsley
J. Torkildsen 🟨
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Start

1 J. Torkildsen
4 V. Wormgoor
18 J. Tveita
15 H. Robstad
22 K. Tønnessen
14 L. Mares
5 P. Reinhardsen
11 E. Schulze
6 B. Antonsson
23 M. Grundetjern
7 E. Derviskadic
Bench (9)
36 S. Svela
21 S. Sjøkvist
30 Basilio Ndong
49 J. Gregersen
3 V. Bergan
8 K. Valsvik
17 A. Frobenius
25 H. Gjesdal
96 M. Jensen

Coach: S. Tjelmeland

Fredrikstad

1 H. Jensen
4 S. Molde
26 M. Nielsen
18 L. Begby
2 A. Hansen
21 O. Jansson
7 T. Drage
14 J. Lindström
19 O. Øby
11 R. Alba
24 N. Williams
Bench (7)
22 O. Okeke
10 N. Solberg
15 I. Kingsley
17 T. Johansen
16 M. Solhaug Wenneberg
25 O. Langbråten
33 F. Stensland

Coach: B. Johansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Hauge · 97 kamper i vår database

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.