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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: T Hagen
Fredrikstad
U S S T T
2–4
Full-time
Stabaek
S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredrikstad Stabaek
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,2
4,5
Scored
1,0
2,7
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 38%
29%
47%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
53%
41%
Both score Ø 41%
41%
41%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Fredrikstad 10. · Stabaek 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 17 14 3 0 +42 45
2 Ranheim 17 10 4 3 +9 34
3 Stabaek 17 8 7 2 +15 31
4 Sogndal 17 8 5 4 +6 29
5 Sandnes ULF 16 9 2 5 +2 29
6 Raufoss 17 7 6 4 -1 27
7 Mjondalen 17 8 3 6 -3 27
8 Start 16 7 5 4 +11 26
9 KFUM Oslo 16 7 4 5 +3 25
10 Fredrikstad 17 5 6 6 -1 21
11 Asane 17 4 6 7 -16 18
12 Kongsvinger 14 4 5 5 +2 17
13 Bryne 17 4 4 9 -8 16
14 Skeid 17 2 1 14 -18 7
15 Grorud 17 0 6 11 -20 6
16 Stjørdals-Blink 17 1 3 13 -23 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Jun -22 Stabaek – Fredrikstad 0–0

Match report

Fredrikstad Stabaek
O. Jansson 🟨
11′
22′
G. Orban 0–1
1–1 O. Øby
24′
Half-time 1–2
55′
F. Krogstad 1–2
2–2 R. Alba
57′
L. Lima 🔁
↦ R. Alba
62′
I. Kingsley 🔁
↦ O. Okeke
68′
M. Solhaug Wenneberg 🔁
↦ N. Williams
68′
70′
🔁 F. Azemi
↦ P. Metcalfe
70′
🔁 T. Lange
↦ V. Wernersson
74′
F. Azemi 2–3
F. Stensland 🔁
↦ N. Solberg
81′
87′
🔁 N. Jenssen
↦ H. Geelmuyden
93′
🔁 A. Andresen
↦ C. Edwards
94′
G. Orban 2–4
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Fredrikstad

1 H. Jensen
4 S. Molde
26 M. Nielsen
18 L. Begby
21 O. Jansson
7 T. Drage
19 O. Øby
10 N. Solberg
11 R. Alba
24 N. Williams
22 O. Okeke
Bench (9)
29 L. Lima
15 I. Kingsley
16 M. Solhaug Wenneberg
33 F. Stensland
17 T. Johansen
23 A. Aleesami
25 O. Langbråten
28 I. Hermansen
31 T. Mrakovic

Coach: B. Johansen

Stabaek

12 M. Sandberg
4 S. Wangberg
3 N. Næss
2 K. Pedersen
19 V. Wernersson
15 S. Ottesen
14 F. Krogstad
8 C. Edwards
18 P. Metcalfe
10 H. Geelmuyden
16 G. Orban
Bench (7)
7 F. Azemi
13 T. Lange
5 N. Jenssen
20 A. Andresen
1 M. Ulla
22 P. Vogt
31 O. Veum

Coach: E. Kjønø

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Hagen · 38 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,03 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.