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KNVB Beker

Referee: E van de Graaf

Den Bosch

0–2

Full-time

Ajax

S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Den Bosch Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

100%

17%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

4,0

3,7

Scored

3,0

1,7

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

28% Possession 72%

3 Shots 16

1 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 6

13 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	De Treffers	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Blauw Geel	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	De Graafschap	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Nijmegen	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Hercules	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	ADO '20	3	2	0	1	+3	6
8	Den Haag	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	URK	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	FC Emmen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
11	Spakenburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
12	NAC Breda	2	2	0	0	+2	6
13	HV & CV Quick	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	Sportlust '46	3	2	0	1	-1	6
15	Staphorst	3	1	1	1	+1	4
16	Hoek	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Kozakken Boys	3	1	1	1	-1	4
18	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	OFC Oostzaan	2	1	0	1	+2	3
22	Volendam	2	1	0	1	+2	3
23	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
24	Den Bosch	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Cambuur	2	1	0	1	+2	3
27	Twente	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+1	3
29	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+1	3
30	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	VVV Venlo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Groene Ster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Dongen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	TEC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	FC Eindhoven	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
40	Telstar	2	1	0	1	-1	3
41	Almere City	2	1	0	1	-2	3
42	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-2	3
43	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Hsc 21	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	GVV Unitas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	RKAV Volendam	2	0	1	1	-2	1
52	DEM	2	0	1	1	-3	1
53	Harkemase Boys	2	0	1	1	-4	1
54	VVOG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	OJC Rosmalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	ASWH	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Gemert	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Dovo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	ACV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	JOS Watergraafsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-4	0
82	Ter Leede	1	0	0	1	-4	0
83	MVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
84	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	De Treffers	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	ADO '20	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+3	3
5	Staphorst	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	OFC Oostzaan	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Twente	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	URK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	TEC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Groene Ster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
19	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
20	Almere City	2	1	0	1	-2	3
21	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-2	3
22	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Hsc 21	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	GVV Unitas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Kozakken Boys	2	0	1	1	-2	1
29	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	OJC Rosmalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	ASWH	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Gemert	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Dovo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	JOS Watergraafsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	DEM	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	HV & CV Quick	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Sportlust '46	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	De Graafschap	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	HV & CV Quick	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Den Haag	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	FC Emmen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Sportlust '46	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Hoek	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Volendam	2	1	0	1	+2	3
13	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
14	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Den Bosch	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Cambuur	2	1	0	1	+2	3
17	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Kozakken Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	URK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Excelsior '31	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Dongen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Telstar	2	1	0	1	-1	3
29	RKAV Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Harkemase Boys	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	DEM	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Staphorst	2	0	1	1	-2	1
35	VVOG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	TEC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	ACV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-4	0
51	Ter Leede	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	MVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Den Bosch Ajax

20′

⚽ D. Tadić 0–1

Half-time 0–1

52′

🟨 Kenneth Taylor

52′

⚽ K. Taylor 0–2

D. Tadić

S. van Bakel 🔁

↦ D. Halilović

66′

69′

🔁 C. Rasmussen

↦ Francisco Conceição

69′

🔁 V. Jensen

↦ K. Taylor

69′

🔁 O. Aertssen

↦ D. Rensch

Rik Mulders 🟨

73′

74′

🟨 Jorge Sánchez

R. Leijten 🔁

↦ F. Hammouti

77′

N. Möller 🔁

↦ A. Ahannach

77′

85′

🔁 J. Hato

↦ O. Wijndal

E. Patoulidis 🔁

↦ D. Verbeek

93′

Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Den Bosch

4-2-3-1

W. van der Steen G

R. Mulders D

15 T. van Grunsven D

3 V. van den Bogert D

24 S. Maas D

8 S. van der Heijden M

6 D. Halilović M

22 F. Hammouti M

11 D. Verbeek M

7 A. Ahannach M

10 J. Konings F

Bench (10)

19 S. van Bakel

20 R. Leijten

9 N. Möller

42 E. Patoulidis

31 L. Vrolijks

32 N. Hendriks

47 S. Barglan

21 K. Sikking

2 J. van Hedel

4 D. Ryan

Coach: J. de Gier

Ajax

4-3-3

G. Rulli G

19 J. Sánchez D

D. Rensch D

C. Bassey D

O. Wijndal D

D. Klaassen M

K. Fitz-Jim M

K. Taylor M

Francisco Conceição F

L. Lucca F

D. Tadić F

Bench (11)

37 C. Rasmussen

58 V. Jensen

43 O. Aertssen

57 J. Hato

41 S. Vos

1 M. Stekelenburg

38 K. Hlynsson

22 R. Pasveer

47 T. Gooijer

45 D. Warmerdam

49 J. Banel

Coach: A. Schreuder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

18. Oct KNVB 3 years ago

Referee

E van de Graaf · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

2,9 / match

Below average

⚽ Free kicks

17,9 / match

Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Match report

Line-ups

Den Bosch

Ajax

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee