Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Virtus Entella
Chievo
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Empoli
|
36 | 18 | 16 | 2 | +34 | 70 |
| 2 |
Salernitana
|
36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | +7 | 63 |
| 3 |
Lecce
|
36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | +22 | 61 |
| 4 |
Monza
|
36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | +17 | 61 |
| 5 |
Venezia
|
36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | +14 | 57 |
| 6 |
Cittadella
|
36 | 15 | 11 | 10 | +15 | 56 |
| 7 |
Chievo
|
36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | +8 | 50 |
| 8 |
Brescia
|
36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | +5 | 50 |
| 9 |
Spal
|
36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | +0 | 50 |
| 10 |
Reggina
|
36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | +1 | 49 |
| 11 |
Frosinone
|
36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | -8 | 46 |
| 12 |
Cremonese
|
36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | +0 | 45 |
| 13 |
Pisa
|
36 | 10 | 15 | 11 | -5 | 45 |
| 14 |
Vicenza
|
36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | -6 | 44 |
| 15 | Pordenone | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | -1 | 41 |
| 16 |
Ascoli
|
36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | -10 | 41 |
| 17 |
Cosenza
|
36 | 6 | 17 | 13 | -13 | 35 |
| 18 |
Reggiana
|
36 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -24 | 34 |
| 19 |
Pescara
|
36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | -25 | 32 |
| 20 |
Virtus Entella
|
36 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -31 | 23 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Cittadella
Virtus Entella
Virtus Entella
Vicenza
Pescara
Virtus Entella
Virtus Entella
Salernitana
Virtus Entella
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.