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Copa del Rey

Referee: Fernando Román

Valle Egüés

1–0

Full-time

Teruel

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Celta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Buñol	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Deportivo Murcia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Hernán Cortés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Tardienta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Melilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Alcorcon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Boiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Barbastro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Turégano	2	1	0	1	-2	3
24	Quintanar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
25	Atlético Lugones	2	1	0	1	-5	3
26	Rubí	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Rotlet Molinar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Ucam Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Linares Deportivo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Badalona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Cadiz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Azuaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Cartagena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Pradejón	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Zirauki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Mijas Las Lagunas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Monte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Unión Zona Norte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Santurtzi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Sauzal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Mensajero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	CF Talavera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Llerenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Varea	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Peña Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
55	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hernán Cortés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Tardienta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Barbastro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Turégano	2	1	0	1	-2	3
5	Quintanar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
6	Rubí	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Ucam Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Badalona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Azuaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Pradejón	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Mijas Las Lagunas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Monte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Mensajero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	CF Talavera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Llerenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
23	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
24	Varea	1	0	0	1	-3	0
25	Peña Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
26	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
27	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Celta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Buñol	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Deportivo Murcia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Atlético Lugones	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Melilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Alcorcon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Boiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Rotlet Molinar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Linares Deportivo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Cadiz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Cartagena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Zirauki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Unión Zona Norte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Santurtzi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Sauzal	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valle Egüés Teruel

P. Lopez 🟨

44′

Half-time 0–0

46′

🔁 Sergio Buenacasa

↦ F. García

56′

🟨 E. Cabetas

62′

🟨 I. Sierra

Javier Sola 🔁

↦ Santano

65′

68′

🔁 Ahn June-Hyuk

↦ David Aparicio

68′

🔁 Nacho Castillo

↦ Jorge Alastuey

X. Olague 🟨

71′

Miguel Díaz 🔁

↦ Pablo Palacios

75′

Ander Astrain 🔁

↦ Pablo López

75′

81′

🔁 Aitor Pascual

↦ Víctor Sanchís

Fermín García 🔁

↦ Adrián Roncal

84′

Pablo Grande 🔁

↦ Xabier Olagüe

84′

90′

🔁 Borja Romero

↦ Francisco Tena

90′

🔁 Fran Carmona

↦ Isma Sierra

92′

🟨 F. Carmona

94′

🟨 A. Gabarre

J. Sola 🟨

102′

109′

🟨 E. Cabetas

109′

🟥 E. Cabetas

1–0 Miguel Díaz ⚽

110′

F. Garcia 🟨

122′

Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Valle Egüés

1 Izan Lecumberri

17 Hasier Iriarte

5 Xabier Olagüe

4 Javier Terés

2 Ibai Arroki

8 Sergio López

6 Pablo López

21 Hugo Terés

22 Pablo Palacios

7 Adrián Roncal

11 Santano

Bench (10)

18 Javier Sola

16 Miguel Díaz

12 Ander Astrain

20 Fermín García

15 Pablo Grande

3 Oier Retegui

10 Imanol Arellano

13 Julen Pagola

19 Ibán Lara

9 Fernando Satrústegui

Coach: Txiki

Teruel

1 Taliby Konaté

4 Cabetas

17 R. Correia

15 Víctor Sanchís

Isma Sierra

11 Borja Giner

8 Francisco Tena

10 David Aparicio

21 F. García

30 Jorge Alastuey

18 Tony Gabarre

Bench (9)

9 Sergio Buenacasa

7 Ahn June-Hyuk

14 Nacho Castillo

23 Aitor Pascual

6 Borja Romero

2 Fran Carmona

3 Julen Hualde

13 Nico Rodríguez

26 Hugo Gómez

Coach: Víctor Bravo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5

–

🔒

U1,5 ✓

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Valle Egüés

Teruel

Odds comparison

Recent matches