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League Cup
Referee: S Oldham
Rotherham
T T U T S
2–1
Full-time
Crewe
U U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rotherham Crewe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
27 Shots 7
10 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 8
11 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Rotherham Crewe
Sean Raggett 🟨
1′
Half-time 0–1
50′
⚽ M. Holíček 0–1
54′
🟨 Owen Lunt
1–1 S. Nombe ⚽
J. Powell
55′
56′
🔁 J. Tabiner
↦ K. Breckin
56′
🔁 F. Roberts
↦ S. Tracey
56′
🔁 K. Hemmings
↦ J. Lankester
H. Odoffin 🔁
↦ S. McWilliams
65′
68′
🔁 M. Sanders
↦ O. Lunt
79′
🔁 M. Demetriou
↦ M. Conway
E. Osong 🔁
↦ C. Tiéhi
81′
2–1 H. Odoffin ⚽
J. Clarke-Harris
86′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Rotherham

4-4-2
1 C. Dawson G
14 A. MacDonald D
5 S. Raggett D
30 J. McCart D
6 R. James D
17 S. McWilliams M
27 C. Tiéhi M
4 L. Kelly M
7 J. Powell M
8 S. Nombe F
9 J. Clarke-Harris F
Bench (7)
22 H. Odoffin
19 E. Osong
20 D. Phillips
23 J. Holmes
10 J. Hugill
24 C. Humphreys
3 C. Bramall

Coach: S. Evans

Crewe

3-5-2
12 F. Marschall G
18 J. Connolly D
3 J. Knight-Lebel D
4 Z. Williams
2 R. Cooney M
19 O. Lunt M
26 K. Breckin M
17 M. Holíček M
25 M. Conway M
14 J. Lankester F
10 S. Tracey F
Bench (9)
11 J. Tabiner
21 F. Roberts
15 K. Hemmings
6 M. Sanders
5 M. Demetriou
28 L. Billington
31 M. Lenarcik
16 L. Sant
20 C. Agius

Coach: L. Bell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Oldham · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.