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League Cup
Referee: K Stroud
4–2
Full-time
Wrexham
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield United Wrexham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
2,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

67% Possession 33%
20 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 +5 3
2 Watford 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Blackpool 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Leyton Orient 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Huddersfield 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Tranmere 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Crawley Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Swansea 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Preston 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Cardiff 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Oxford 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Wycombe 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Doncaster 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Stoke 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Norwich 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Barrow 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Derby 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Rotherham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Harrogate Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 AFC Wimbledon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Fleetwood Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 QPR 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Birmingham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Coventry 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Millwall 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Shrewsbury 1 0 1 0 +0 1
27 Notts County 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 Colchester 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 Reading 1 0 1 0 +0 1
30 Wigan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Barnsley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Bolton 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Mansfield Town 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Walsall 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Exeter City 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Grimsby 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Bradford 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Stevenage 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Port Vale 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Chesterfield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Crewe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Lincoln 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Bromley 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 West Brom 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Cambridge United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Charlton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Bristol City 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Portsmouth 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Swindon Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 Gillingham 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 Sunderland 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 Peterborough 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Northampton 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Salford City 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Carlisle 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Newport County 1 0 0 1 -3 0
58 Morecambe 1 0 0 1 -3 0
59 Accrington ST 1 0 0 1 -3 0
60 Burton Albion 1 0 0 1 -4 0
61 Stockport County 1 0 0 1 -5 0
62 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield United Wrexham
A. Gilchrist 🔁
↦ F. Seriki
21′
29′
W. Boyle 0–1
D. Scarr
1–1 A. Trusty
S. Peck
35′
42′
🟨 James McClean
Half-time 1–2
1–2 L. Brunt
own goal
57′
62′
🔁 J. Marriott
↦ J. McClean
62′
🔁 E. Lee
↦ O. Rathbone
62′
🔁 S. Fletcher
↦ S. Dalby
2–2 L. Marsh
69′
R. Norrington-Davies 🔁
↦ H. Boyes
70′
G. Hamer 🔁
↦ L. Marsh
70′
R. Oné 🔁
↦ R. Brewster
70′
70′
🔁 G. Dobson
↦ G. Evans
79′
🔁 R. Barnett
↦ L. Bolton
A. Brooks 🔁
↦ O. Hampson
80′
3–2 A. Ben Slimane
85′
93′
S. Revan 3–3
E. Lee
Sydie Peck 🟨
94′
95′
🟨 Jack Marriott
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Sheffield United

4-4-1-1
13 I. Grbić G
38 F. Seriki D
6 H. Souttar D
5 A. Trusty D
43 H. Boyes D
44 O. Hampson M
42 S. Peck M
29 I. Coulibaly M
25 A. Ben Slimane M
34 L. Marsh F
7 R. Brewster F
Bench (9)
2 A. Gilchrist
33 R. Norrington-Davies
8 G. Hamer
39 R. Oné
35 A. Brooks
21 Vinicius Souza
19 J. Robinson
17 A. Davies
14 H. Burrows

Coach: C. Wilder

Wrexham

3-5-2
13 C. Burton G
3 L. Brunt D
24 D. Scarr D
25 W. Boyle D
17 L. Bolton M
30 J. Jones M
12 G. Evans M
7 J. McClean M
23 S. Revan M
20 O. Rathbone F
18 S. Dalby F
Bench (9)
11 J. Marriott
38 E. Lee
26 S. Fletcher
15 G. Dobson
29 R. Barnett
8 A. Cannon
21 M. Howard
4 M. Cleworth
9 O. Palmer

Coach: P. Parkinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Stroud · 147 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.