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League Cup
Referee: O Yates
Preston
T T T T T
2–0
Full-time
Sunderland
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Preston Sunderland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,2
1,2
Scored
0,0
0,5
Conceded
2,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-2,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
14 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 0
6 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Jan -24 Sunderland – Preston 2–0 12. Aug -23 Preston – Sunderland 2–1 8. May -23 Preston – Sunderland 0–3 1. Oct -22 Sunderland – Preston 0–0 17. Mar -18 Sunderland – Preston 0–2

Match report

Preston Sunderland
25′
🟨 Leo Fuhr Hjelde
Robbie Brady 🟨
31′
1–0 R. Ledson ⚽
B. Potts
37′
Half-time 1–0
S. Greenwood 🔁
↦ R. Brady
57′
M. Osmajić 🔁
↦ E. Riis
69′
D. Holmes 🔁
↦ B. Whiteman
69′
S. Þórðarson 🔁
↦ W. Keane
69′
70′
🔁 H. Jones
↦ C. Rigg
2–0 M. Frøkjær-Jensen ⚽
70′
K. Kesler-Hayden 🔁
↦ M. Frøkjær-Jensen
74′
81′
🔁 J. Bennette
↦ A. Ba
81′
🔁 T. Watson
↦ A. Aouchiche
81′
🔁 Luís Semedo
↦ N. Rusyn
Full-time 2–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

O Yates · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.