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League Cup
Referee: J Bell
Bristol City
U U S T U
0–1
Full-time
Coventry
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol City Coventry
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
15 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 8
1 Offside 6
8 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Jan -24 Coventry – Bristol City 2–2 21. Oct -23 Bristol City – Coventry 1–0 1. Jan -23 Coventry – Bristol City 1–1 4. Oct -22 Bristol City – Coventry 0–0 10. Aug -22 Coventry – Bristol City 1–4

Match report

Bristol City Coventry
7′
🟨 Jay Dasilva
Kal Naismith 🟨
29′
H. Cornick 🔁
↦ S. Bell
44′
Half-time 0–0
J. Williams 🔁
↦ J. Knight
46′
62′
🔁 E. Simms
↦ H. Wright
62′
🔁 J. Allen
↦ V. Torp
62′
🔁 J. Rudoni
↦ J. Eccles
63′
🔁 M. van Ewijk
↦ B. Thomas
63′
🔁 T. Sakamoto
↦ Fábio Tavares
65′
⚽ E. Simms 0–1
K. Palmer
A. Mehmeti 🔁
↦ M. Sykes
68′
J. Stokes 🔁
↦ N. Wells
69′
S. Armstrong 🔁
↦ F. Mayulu
80′
89′
🟨 Kasey Palmer
Sinclair Armstrong 🟨
94′
Full-time 0–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Bell · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.