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Champions League
Referee: I Peljto
Twente
T S S T S
3–3
Full-time
Salzburg
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
4,2
5,0
Scored
2,7
3,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

51% Possession 49%
14 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 2
1 Offside 5
14 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Aug -24 Salzburg – Twente 2–1

Match report

Twente Salzburg
9′
🟨 Lucas Gourna-Douath
17′
⚽ M. Kjærgaard 0–1
O. Gloukh
Daan Rots 🟨
24′
25′
⚽ D. Nene 0–2
A. Dedić
Michel Vlap 🟨
37′
1–2 M. Hilgers ⚽
C. Eiting
43′
Half-time 1–2
M. van Bergen 🔁
↦ C. Eiting
46′
46′
⚽ M. Yeo 1–3
M. Bidstrup
Mees Hilgers 🟨
51′
55′
🔁 M. Diambou
↦ L. Gourna-Douath
M. Rots 🔁
↦ B. Kuipers
61′
S. Steijn 🔁
↦ M. Kjølø
61′
2–3 A. Van Hoorenbeeck ⚽
M. Rots
64′
S. Ltaief 🔁
↦ D. Rots
67′
67′
🔁 A. Daghim
↦ M. Yeo
67′
🔁 P. Ratkov
↦ D. Nene
73′
ℹ️ Oscar Gloukh
VAR: Penalty confirmed
74′
❌ Maurits Kjaergaard
penalty missed
Y. Taha 🔁
↦ A. Van Hoorenbeeck
76′
78′
🟨 Janis Blaswich
81′
🔁 N. Capaldo
↦ M. Bidstrup
81′
🔁 I. Van der Brempt
↦ O. Gloukh
Sem Steijn 🟨
82′
3–3 S. Steijn ⚽
R. van Wolfswinkel
87′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
34 A. Salah-Eddine D
2 M. Hilgers D
17 A. Van Hoorenbeeck D
5 B. Kuipers D
4 M. Kjølø M
6 C. Eiting M
11 D. Rots M
9 R. van Wolfswinkel M
18 M. Vlap M
10 S. Lammers F
Bench (10)
7 M. van Bergen
39 M. Rots
14 S. Steijn
30 S. Ltaief
19 Y. Taha
29 H. Kuster
16 I. El Maach
24 J. Mesbahi
22 P. Tytoń
38 M. Bruns

Coach: J. Oosting

Salzburg

4-3-3
1 J. Blaswich G
70 A. Dedić D
91 K. Piątkowski D
6 S. Baidoo D
3 A. Terzić D
18 M. Bidstrup M
27 L. Gourna-Douath M
14 M. Kjærgaard M
45 D. Nene F
49 M. Yeo F
30 O. Gloukh F
Bench (9)
15 M. Diambou
28 A. Daghim
21 P. Ratkov
7 N. Capaldo
2 I. Van der Brempt
23 R. Šimić
41 J. Krumrey
5 B. Okoh
92 S. Hamzić

Coach: P. Lijnders

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Peljto · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.