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Conference League
Referee: J Vergoote
Mornar
S U T S T
2–2
Full-time
Paks
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mornar Paks
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
40%
80%
Points per game
1,4
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 30%
60%
0%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,2
This season — Conference League · 5/3 matches
Win Ø 70%
40%
100%
Points per game
1,4
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
60%
67%
Both score Ø 30%
60%
0%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
1,0
2,7
Conceded
1,4
0,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+2,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%
16 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Aug -24 Paks – Mornar 3–0

Match report

Mornar Paks
14′
⚽ J. Windecker 0–1
0–2 B. Lenzsér ⚽
own goal
18′
24′
🔁 K. Kovács
↦ J. Szabó
44′
🟨 Bence Lenzsér
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 Z. Haraszti
↦ S. Mezei
1–2 D. Zorić ⚽
59′
E. Seratlić 🔁
↦ B. Vukotić
60′
60′
🔁 D. Böde
↦ B. Tóth
Andrija Kaluđerović 🟨
73′
A. Kolundžić 🔁
↦ M. Ćetković
77′
N. Vuković 🔁
↦ S. Stevanović
83′
83′
🔁 B. Balogh
↦ B. Vécsei
86′
⚽ D. Zorić 2–2
own goal
88′
🟨 József Windecker
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Mornar

4-3-3
12 S. Popović G
2 S. Stevanović D
32 V. Ljutica D
16 F. Mitrović D
33 B. Vukotić D
7 M. Ćetković M
4 A. Kaluđerović M
18 D. Zorić M
10 K. Kishi F
9 A. Vujačić F
20 M. Vušurović F
Bench (6)
97 E. Seratlić
11 A. Kolundžić
17 N. Vuković
80 V. Trifunović
94 L. Perović
1 Đ. Pavličić

Coach: Z. Đurašković

Paks

3-5-1-1
1 P. Szappanos G
23 B. Ötvös D
2 Á. Kinyik D
24 B. Lenzsér D
11 A. Osváth M
21 K. Papp M
5 B. Vécsei M
22 J. Windecker M
30 J. Szabó M
26 S. Mezei F
29 B. Tóth F
Bench (12)
20 K. Kovács
10 Z. Haraszti
13 D. Böde
8 B. Balogh
27 B. Szabó
77 Z. Gévay
12 G. Vas
25 B. Simon
14 E. Silye
15 D. Zimonyi
19 K. Horváth
31 V. Borsos

Coach: G. Bognár

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Vergoote · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.