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League Cup
Referee: R Joyce
Stockport County
T U S U T
1–6
Full-time
Blackburn
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stockport County Blackburn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–4

28% Possession 72%
3 Shots 24
1 Shots on target 12
1 Blocked shots 7
6 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 8
1 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 3
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Stockport County Blackburn
8′
⚽ S. Szmodics 0–1
A. Sigurðsson
22′
⚽ A. Weimann 0–2
25′
⚽ S. Szmodics 0–3
H. Pickering
31′
⚽ Y. Ohashi 0–4
J. Buckley
C. Camps 🔁
↦ S. Hughes
39′
Half-time 0–4
B. Cina 🔁
↦ F. Redshaw
46′
R. Watson 🔁
↦ L. Williams
46′
46′
🔁 K. McFadzean
↦ H. Carter
46′
🔁 L. Duru
↦ C. Brittain
Bruno Cina 🟨
47′
63′
🔁 L. Travis
↦ S. Tronstad
63′
🔁 J. Vale
↦ S. Szmodics
63′
🔁 M. Gueye
↦ A. Weimann
1–4 N. Mapengu ⚽
67′
72′
⚽ M. Gueye 1–5
J. Buckley
J. Lawless-Williams 🔁
↦ N. Mapengu
82′
J. Lewis 🔁
↦ J. Fevrier
83′
88′
⚽ J. Vale 1–6
Y. Ohashi
Odin Bailey 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–6

Line-ups

Stockport County

3-4-3
1 B. Hinchliffe G
46 N. Mapengu D
5 S. Hughes D
3 I. Touray D
29 J. Okeke M
24 T. Onyango M
27 O. Bailey M
54 F. Redshaw M
31 C. Gardner F
56 L. Williams F
10 J. Fevrier F
Bench (9)
8 C. Camps
40 B. Cina
55 R. Watson
44 J. Lawless-Williams
45 J. Lewis
25 M. Metcalfe
20 L. Barry
7 J. Diamond
42 S. Gardner

Coach: D. Challinor

Blackburn

4-4-2
1 A. Pears G
2 C. Brittain D
17 H. Carter D
15 D. Batth D
3 H. Pickering D
14 A. Weimann M
21 J. Buckley M
6 S. Tronstad M
7 A. Sigurðsson M
8 S. Szmodics F
23 Y. Ohashi F
Bench (9)
4 K. McFadzean
39 L. Duru
27 L. Travis
29 J. Vale
9 M. Gueye
13 J. Hilton
5 D. Hyam
11 J. Rankin-Costello
10 T. Dolan

Coach: J. Eustace

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.