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Champions League
Referee: M Di Bello
PAOK
S S S S U
3–4
Full-time
Malmo FF
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Malmo FF
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,8
Scored
2,3
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,3
4,7
Scored
2,0
2,7
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Aug -24 Malmo FF – PAOK 2–2

Match report

PAOK Malmo FF
10′
S. Nanasi 0–1
P. Jansson
1–1 Taison
21′
Joan Sastre 🟨
37′
2–1 K. Koulierakis
43′
45′
S. Nanasi 2–2
S. Rieks
Half-time 3–2
3–2 A. Živković
A. Baba
48′
T. Murg 🔁
↦ Taison
49′
59′
🔁 H. Bolin
↦ S. Rieks
62′
🟨 Lasse Berg Johnsen
Abdul Rahman Baba 🟨
65′
K. Despodov 🔁
↦ A. Živković
72′
F. Chalov 🔁
↦ Brandon Thomas
73′
S. Schwab 🔁
↦ M. Ozdoev
73′
79′
🔁 A. Christiansen
↦ S. Nanasi
Vieirinha 🔁
↦ G. Konstantelias
86′
87′
🔁 T. Ali
↦ E. Botheim
94′
🟨 Pontus Jansson
96′
N. Zätterström 3–3
99′
A. Christiansen 3–4
N. Zätterström
Thomas Murg 🟨
100′
T. Tissoudali 🔁
↦ T. Murg
101′
105′
🔁 O. Berg
↦ S. Peña
114′
🔁 C. Rösler
↦ I. Kiese Thelin
114′
🔁 M. Olsson
↦ J. Stryger Larsen
Konstantinos Koulierakis 🟨
120′
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
23 Joan Sastre D
16 T. Kędziora D
4 K. Koulierakis D
21 A. Baba D
27 M. Ozdoev M
2 M. Camara M
14 A. Živković M
7 G. Konstantelias M
11 Taison M
71 Brandon Thomas F
Bench (11)
10 T. Murg
77 K. Despodov
9 F. Chalov
22 S. Schwab
20 Vieirinha
34 T. Tissoudali
99 A. Tsiftsis
5 G. Michailidis
25 K. Thymianis
6 T. Tsingaras
64 C. Talichmanidis

Coach: R. Lucescu

Malmo FF

4-4-2
27 J. Dahlin G
17 J. Stryger Larsen D
18 P. Jansson D
35 N. Zätterström D
25 Gabriel Busanello D
5 S. Rieks M
8 S. Peña M
23 L. Berg Johnsen M
11 S. Nanasi M
9 I. Kiese Thelin F
20 E. Botheim F
Bench (12)
38 H. Bolin
10 A. Christiansen
22 T. Ali
16 O. Berg
19 C. Rösler
13 M. Olsson
30 J. Persson
29 S. Hakšabanović
14 S. Jørgensen
7 O. Rosengren
1 Ricardo Friedrich
33 E. Makolli

Coach: H. Rydström

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Di Bello · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.