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League Cup
Referee: L Smith
Watford
T U S T S
5–0
Full-time
Milton Keynes Dons
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Watford Milton Keynes Dons
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

57% Possession 43%
24 Shots 9
12 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
12 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Aug -22 Watford – Milton Keynes Dons 0–2

Match report

Watford Milton Keynes Dons
1–0 M. Pollock ⚽
T. Ince
24′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 T. Ince ⚽
R. Andrews
46′
46′
🔁 S. Wearne
↦ T. Leigh
46′
🔁 A. Gilbey
↦ C. Hendry
46′
🔁 J. Tucker
↦ J. Pritchard
Y. Larouci 🔁
↦ K. Sema
61′
Mamadou Doumbia 🔁
↦ M. Rajović
62′
K. Baah 🔁
↦ R. Vata
62′
3–0 K. Baah ⚽
Y. Larouci
64′
4–0 T. Ince ⚽
67′
Francisco Sierralta 🟨
70′
70′
🔁 A. Nemane
↦ S. Sherring
5–0 T. Ince ⚽
74′
L. Ramirez-Espain 🔁
↦ T. Dele-Bashiru
76′
A. Tikvić 🔁
↦ F. Sierralta
76′
88′
🔁 D. Singh-Hurditt
↦ E. Harrison
90′
🟨 Jordan Williams
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Watford

3-4-2-1
23 J. Bond G
6 M. Pollock D
3 F. Sierralta D
22 J. Morris D
45 R. Andrews M
7 T. Ince M
24 T. Dele-Bashiru M
12 K. Sema M
10 I. Louza F
11 R. Vata F
9 M. Rajović F
Bench (9)
37 Y. Larouci
20 Mamadou Doumbia
34 K. Baah
52 L. Ramirez-Espain
15 A. Tikvić
41 A. Marriott
39 E. Kayembe
19 V. Bayo
5 R. Porteous

Coach: T. Cleverley

Milton Keynes Dons

3-4-2-1
12 N. Harness G
5 S. Sherring D
34 C. Tripp D
3 D. Lewington D
14 J. Tomlinson M
6 M. Williams M
28 T. Carroll M
2 J. Pritchard M
22 C. Hendry F
18 T. Leigh F
9 E. Harrison F
Bench (9)
11 S. Wearne
8 A. Gilbey
4 J. Tucker
16 A. Nemane
33 D. Singh-Hurditt
1 T. McGill
25 P. Scholtz
17 L. Offord
10 L. Kelly

Coach: M. Williamson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Smith · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.