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League Cup
Referee: L Doughty
Derby
T T U T T
2–1
Full-time
Chesterfield
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Derby Chesterfield
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%
18 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 1
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Derby Chesterfield
29′
⚽ A. Dobra 0–1
J. Quigley
1–1 L. Thompson ⚽
D. Brown
38′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 V. Campbell
↦ D. Tanton
C. Nelson 🔁
↦ E. Cashin
60′
K. Jackson 🔁
↦ T. Barkhuizen
60′
N. Mendez-Laing 🔁
↦ K. Wilson
60′
B. Osborn 🔁
↦ K. Goudmijn
60′
65′
🔁 K. Drummond
↦ J. Berry-McNally
68′
🔁 J. Grimes
↦ T. Naylor
2–1 K. Jackson ⚽
68′
J. Collins 🔁
↦ D. Brown
69′
74′
🔁 T. Akinola
↦ O. Banks
74′
🔁 M. Jacobs
↦ J. Quigley
86′
🟨 Vontae Daley-Campbell
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Derby

4-2-3-1
31 J. Vickers G
24 R. Nyambe D
6 E. Cashin D
5 S. Bradley D
3 C. Forsyth D
4 D. Ozoh M
16 L. Thompson M
2 K. Wilson M
17 K. Goudmijn M
7 T. Barkhuizen M
39 D. Brown F
Bench (9)
35 C. Nelson
19 K. Jackson
11 N. Mendez-Laing
8 B. Osborn
9 J. Collins
13 R. Luthra
23 J. Ward
20 C. Elder
14 C. Washington

Coach: P. Warne

Chesterfield

4-2-3-1
23 R. Boot G
30 D. Tanton D
4 T. Naylor D
22 C. Dunkley D
19 L. Gordon D
28 O. Banks M
8 D. Oldaker M
17 A. Dobra M
15 B. Hobson M
18 J. Berry-McNally M
27 J. Quigley F
Bench (9)
20 V. Campbell
31 K. Drummond
5 J. Grimes
16 T. Akinola
10 M. Jacobs
35 M. Jones
12 T. Williams
9 W. Grigg
11 R. Colclough

Coach: P. Cook

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Doughty · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.