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League Cup
Referee: C Hicks
Leyton Orient
T T T S T
4–1
Full-time
Newport County
U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leyton Orient Newport County
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 35%
20%
50%
Points per game
0,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
20%
50%
Both score Ø 52%
20%
83%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
0,6
2,2
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%
10 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Leyton Orient Newport County
1–0 D. Agyei ⚽
J. Sweeney
1′
Half-time 1–0
O. O'Neill 🔁
↦ E. Galbraith
46′
2–0 B. Cooper ⚽
O. O'Neill
51′
3–0 D. Jaiyesimi ⚽
S. Clare
52′
54′
🟨 Kyle Jameson
C. Kelman 🔁
↦ D. Agyei
59′
59′
🔁 B. Kamwa
↦ N. Wood
59′
🔁 J. Clarke
↦ K. Jameson
Lewis Warrington 🟨
60′
J. Brown 🔁
↦ S. Clare
60′
61′
⚽ J. Clarke 3–1
A. Glennon
O. Beckles 🔁
↦ L. Warrington
67′
70′
🔁 C. Antwi
↦ C. Brennan
70′
🔁 C. Baker-Richardson
↦ K. Rai
4–1 C. Kelman ⚽
S. Perkins
74′
D. Pratley 🔁
↦ D. Jaiyesimi
75′
89′
🔁 C. Evans
↦ L. Jephcott
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Leyton Orient

4-1-4-1
1 Z. Hemming G
28 S. Clare D
6 B. Cooper D
2 T. James D
3 J. Sweeney D
16 L. Warrington M
20 S. Perkins M
22 E. Galbraith M
29 Z. Obiero M
27 D. Jaiyesimi M
7 D. Agyei F
Bench (9)
21 O. O'Neill
23 C. Kelman
8 J. Brown
19 O. Beckles
18 D. Pratley
31 M. Welch
34 P. Chinedu
13 S. Howes
32 C. Pegrum

Coach: R. Wellens

Newport County

4-2-3-1
13 J. Carney G
19 S. McLoughlin D
4 M. Baker D
23 K. Jameson D
3 A. Glennon D
6 C. Brennan M
14 K. Whitmore M
22 N. Wood M
24 A. Wildig M
18 K. Rai M
31 L. Jephcott F
Bench (9)
7 B. Kamwa
5 J. Clarke
11 C. Antwi
9 C. Baker-Richardson
26 C. Evans
29 Nelson Sanca
12 J. Thomas
1 N. Townsend
15 J. Seberry

Coach: Nélson Jardim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Hicks · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.