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League Cup
Referee: S Oldham
Sunderland
U S S T T
1–1
Full-time
Crewe
T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sunderland Crewe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,7
0,3
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
18 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.