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Champions League
Referee: S Sozza
Ludogorets
S T S T S
2–7
Full-time
Qarabag
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ludogorets Qarabag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/3 matches
Win Ø 64%
60%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
40%
67%
Both score Ø 37%
40%
33%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
1,4
2,7
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Aug -24 Qarabag – Ludogorets 1–2

Match report

Ludogorets Qarabag
-5′
🟨 Marko Vešović
7′
⚽ Juninho 0–1
1–1 K. Duah ⚽
13′
2–1 K. Duah ⚽
23′
28′
🟨 Bahlul Mustafazada
30′
🔁 Matheus Silva
↦ M. Vešović
38′
🔁 Patrick Andrade
↦ M. Janković
Half-time 2–2
46′
⚽ Y. Benzia 2–2
I. Chochev 🔁
↦ J. Piotrowski
46′
50′
⚽ Patrick Andrade 2–3
Y. Benzia
54′
🟨 Matheus Silva
Ivajlo Chochev 🟨
58′
S. Delev 🔁
↦ Rwan Cruz
73′
84′
🔁 T. Bayramov
↦ E. Cəfərquliyev
85′
🟨 Júlio Romão
87′
🟨 Abdellah Zoubir
Deroy Duarte 🟨
89′
A. Witry 🔁
↦ Son
90′
Rick 🟨
93′
93′
⚽ T. Bayramov 2–4
A. Zoubir
M. Tissera 🔁
↦ Deroy Duarte
96′
98′
🔁 N. Axundzadə
↦ Leandro Andrade
T. Nedelev 🔁
↦ K. Duah
102′
104′
🟨 Yassine Benzia
105′
🔁 R. Xhixha
↦ Juninho
Anton Nedyalkov 🟨
107′
E. Kurtulus 🔁
↦ Pedro Naressi
108′
110′
⚽ R. Xhixha 2–5
112′
⚽ Patrick Andrade 2–6
N. Axundzadə
118′
⚽ Y. Benzia 2–7
Full-time 2–7

Line-ups

Ludogorets

4-3-3
39 H. Bonmann G
17 Son D
4 Dinis Almeida D
24 O. Verdon D
3 A. Nedyalkov D
30 Pedro Naressi M
6 J. Piotrowski M
23 Deroy Duarte M
7 Rick M
9 K. Duah F
12 Rwan Cruz F
Bench (10)
18 I. Chochev
90 S. Delev
16 A. Witry
10 M. Tissera
8 T. Nedelev
15 E. Kurtulus
14 D. Gropper
67 D. Hristov
82 I. Yordanov
1 S. Padt

Coach: G. Dermendzhiev

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
97 F. Buntić G
29 M. Vešović D
13 B. Mustafazadə D
81 K. Medina D
44 E. Cəfərquliyev D
6 Júlio Romão M
8 M. Janković M
15 Leandro Andrade M
7 Y. Benzia M
10 A. Zoubir M
18 Juninho F
Bench (11)
2 Matheus Silva
66 Patrick Andrade
27 T. Bayramov
90 N. Axundzadə
19 R. Xhixha
12 S. Məmmədzadə
17 H. Keyta
55 B. Hüseynov
24 A. Isaev
30 A. Hüseynov
20 R. Almeyda

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Sozza · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.