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League Cup
Referee: S Gill
Norwich
U T U T T
4–3
Full-time
Stevenage
U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Stevenage
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
0,5
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

65% Possession 35%
12 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Norwich Stevenage
18′
🟨 Harvey White
George Long 🟨
25′
1–0 A. Kamara ⚽
O. Hernández
26′
28′
⚽ C. Goode 1–1
H. White
2–1 O. Hernández ⚽
J. Stacey
35′
Half-time 2–2
46′
⚽ L. Appéré 2–2
H. White
46′
🔁 D. Sweeney
↦ C. Goode
3–2 Borja Sainz ⚽
A. Kamara
48′
59′
🔁 D. Phillips
↦ N. Freeman
4–2 O. Hernández ⚽
A. Forson
60′
L. Gibbs 🔁
↦ A. Forson
61′
C. Doyle 🔁
↦ J. Warner
61′
61′
🔁 L. Freestone
↦ D. Butler
G. Forsyth 🔁
↦ Borja Sainz
69′
70′
🔁 T. Simpson
↦ D. Kemp
70′
🔁 B. Thompson
↦ J. Roberts
Gabriel Forsyth 🟨
75′
E. Myles 🔁
↦ K. McLean
81′
S. Duffy 🔁
↦ K. Fisher
82′
88′
⚽ B. Hills 5–2
own goal
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Norwich

4-2-3-1
12 G. Long G
3 J. Stacey D
50 J. Warner D
40 B. Hills D
35 K. Fisher D
26 M. Núñez M
23 K. McLean M
47 A. Kamara M
18 A. Forson M
7 Borja Sainz M
25 O. Hernández F
Bench (9)
8 L. Gibbs
6 C. Doyle
41 G. Forsyth
44 E. Myles
4 S. Duffy
5 G. Hanley
46 K. Aboh
37 A. Mair
9 J. Sargent

Coach: J. Thorup

Stevenage

4-1-4-1
13 M. Cooper
14 K. Smith D
15 C. Goode D
5 C. Piergianni D
3 D. Butler D
4 N. Thompson M
10 D. Kemp M
7 N. Freeman M
18 H. White M
11 J. Roberts M
9 L. Appéré F
Bench (9)
6 D. Sweeney
22 D. Phillips
16 L. Freestone
12 T. Simpson
24 B. Thompson
17 E. List
2 L. James-Wildin
23 L. Thompson
25 D. Bouzanis

Coach: A. Revell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Gill · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.