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League Cup
Referee: S Simpson
Tranmere
T T U T T
3–0
Full-time
Accrington ST
S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tranmere Accrington ST
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,8
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%
12 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Tranmere Accrington ST
1–0 H. Saunders
O. Patrick
3′
22′
🔁 T. Walton
↦ D. Costelloe
29′
🟨 Michael Kelly
44′
🟨 Shaun Whalley
2–0 J. Williams
45′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 A. Hunter
↦ K. Mooney
46′
🔁 J. Woods
↦ A. Henderson
J. Davison 🔁
↦ H. Saunders
61′
C. Jennings 🔁
↦ K. Dennis
61′
69′
🟨 Connor O'Brien
3–0 O. Patrick
S. Solomon
71′
72′
🟨 Seb Quirk
C. Merrie 🔁
↦ O. Patrick
77′
81′
🔁 B. Woods
↦ L. Coyle
L. Norris 🔁
↦ R. Hendry
85′
85′
🔁 J. Knowles
↦ S. Whalley
L. O'Connor 🔁
↦ J. Williams
86′
88′
🟨 Benjamin Woods
Connor Wood 🟨
91′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Tranmere

4-4-2
13 J. Murphy G
2 C. Norman D
4 B. Walker D
3 Z. Bradshaw D
23 C. Wood D
21 S. Solomon M
24 J. Williams M
8 R. Hendry M
30 O. Patrick M
19 H. Saunders F
14 K. Dennis F
Bench (7)
10 J. Davison
18 C. Jennings
16 C. Merrie
9 L. Norris
22 L. O'Connor
5 T. Davies
1 L. McGee

Coach: N. Adkins

Accrington ST

4-2-3-1
1 M. Kelly G
38 C. O'Brien D
5 F. Rawson D
4 Z. Awe D
12 S. Quirk D
6 L. Coyle M
22 D. Martin M
7 S. Whalley M
10 A. Henderson M
17 D. Costelloe M
9 K. Mooney F
Bench (9)
23 T. Walton
45 A. Hunter
39 J. Woods
8 B. Woods
11 J. Knowles
20 O. Patrick
30 L. Isherwood
2 D. Love
25 J. Smith

Coach: J. Doolan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.