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League Cup
Referee: S Stockbridge
Port Vale
T T S
0–0
Full-time
Crewe
T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Port Vale Crewe
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/4 matches
Win Ø 29%
33%
25%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
100%
25%
Average goals
4,3
2,5
Scored
2,0
0,5
Conceded
2,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,5
This season — League Cup · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
2,0
Scored
3,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
15 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Port Vale 18. · Crewe 36. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bristol City 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Reading 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Swansea 2 1 0 1 +2 3
4 Portsmouth 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Newport County 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Gillingham 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Ipswich 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Blackpool 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Plymouth 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Wycombe 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Leicester 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Lincoln 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Birmingham 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Mansfield Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Bournemouth 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Middlesbrough 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Port Vale 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Leeds 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Doncaster 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Stoke 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Exeter City 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 AFC Wimbledon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Norwich 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Bolton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Harrogate Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Barnsley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 Tranmere 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 Preston 1 0 1 0 +0 1
30 Salford City 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Cardiff 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Colchester 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Sutton Utd 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Cambridge United 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Sunderland 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Crewe 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Sheffield Weds 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Stockport County 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Rotherham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Morecambe 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Peterborough 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 Swindon Town 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Accrington ST 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Bradford 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Stevenage 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Watford 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Wrexham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Wigan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Walsall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Huddersfield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Fleetwood Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Shrewsbury 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Hull 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 West Brom 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Crawley Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Coventry 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 QPR 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Barrow 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Carlisle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Forest Green 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Charlton 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Southampton 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Derby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Leyton Orient 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 Burton Albion 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Notts County 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Cheltenham 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 Grimsby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 Northampton 1 0 0 1 -3 0
72 Oxford 1 0 0 1 -4 0
73 Millwall 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Port Vale Crewe
24′
🟨 Conor Thomas
Ben Garrity 🟨
28′
29′
🟨 Zac Williams
Half-time 0–0
Lewis Cass 🟨
54′
O. Arblaster 🔁
↦ R. Walters
57′
G. Massey 🔁
↦ J. Lowe
57′
J. Wilson 🔁
↦ Joshua Thomas
57′
60′
🔁 S. Tracey
↦ M. Holíček
60′
🔁 C. Long
↦ C. Thomas
J. Plant 🔁
↦ J. Shorrock
65′
66′
🔁 M. Demetriou
↦ Z. Williams
Alex Iacovitti 🟨
72′
78′
🟨 Jack Powell
E. Chislett 🔁
↦ B. Garrity
80′
Alfie Devine 🟨
84′
89′
🔁 R. Griffiths
↦ J. Powell
93′
🟨 Elliott Nevitt
121′
❌ E. Nevitt
penalty missed
1–0 J. Wilson ⚽
122′
123′
❌ C. Long
penalty missed
2–0 O. Arblaster ⚽
124′
125′
❌ R. Adebisi
penalty missed
T. Sang ❌
penalty missed
126′
127′
❌ J. Tabiner
penalty missed
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Port Vale

3-4-2-1
1 C. Ripley G
2 L. Cass D
6 N. Smith D
17 A. Iacovitti D
4 T. Sang M
24 R. Walters M
16 J. Lowe M
23 J. Shorrock M
11 A. Devine F
8 B. Garrity F
44 Joshua Thomas F
Bench (9)
18 O. Arblaster
19 G. Massey
29 J. Wilson
21 J. Plant
10 E. Chislett
14 F. Ojo
7 M. Clark
13 J. Leutwiler
25 B. Dipepa

Coach: A. Crosby

Crewe

5-4-1
1 H. Davies G
2 R. Cooney D
6 L. Offord D
15 C. O'Riordan D
4 Z. Williams
3 R. Adebisi D
11 J. Tabiner M
8 C. Thomas M
23 J. Powell M
17 M. Holíček M
20 E. Nevitt F
Bench (9)
10 S. Tracey
7 C. Long
5 M. Demetriou
18 R. Griffiths
24 C. Finney
34 C. Agius
19 O. Lunt
13 T. Booth
28 L. Billington

Coach: L. Bell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Stockbridge · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.