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League Cup
Referee: D Whitestone
Portsmouth
T S U T U
0–1
Full-time
Millwall
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Portsmouth Millwall
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
10 Shots 8
0 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
10 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Portsmouth Millwall
13′
⚽ R. Esse 0–1
G. Honeyman
Gavin Whyte 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
A. Dozzell 🔁
↦ J. Williams
64′
M. Ritchie 🔁
↦ G. Whyte
64′
64′
🔁 T. Bradshaw
↦ M. Langstaff
65′
🔁 R. Leonard
↦ J. Bryan
65′
🔁 G. Saville
↦ A. Massey
E. Sørensen 🔁
↦ T. Lowery
66′
74′
🔁 D. Watmore
↦ A. Emakhu
C. Lang 🔁
↦ C. Saydee
76′
P. Lane 🔁
↦ S. Silvera
76′
81′
🟨 Liam Roberts
83′
🔁 S. Hutchinson
↦ C. De Norre
Callum Lang 🟨
86′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Portsmouth

3-4-2-1
1 W. Norris G
2 J. Williams D
4 R. Towler D
3 C. Ogilvie D
22 Z. Swanson M
24 T. Devlin M
14 B. Stevenson M
20 S. Silvera M
11 G. Whyte F
26 T. Lowery F
15 C. Saydee F
Bench (9)
21 A. Dozzell
30 M. Ritchie
18 E. Sørensen
49 C. Lang
32 P. Lane
17 O. Moxon
7 M. Pack
31 J. Archer
6 C. Shaughnessy

Coach: J. Mousinho

Millwall

4-2-3-1
13 L. Roberts G
2 D. McNamara D
45 W. Harding D
5 J. Cooper D
15 J. Bryan D
24 C. De Norre M
44 A. Massey M
22 A. Emakhu M
39 G. Honeyman M
25 R. Esse M
17 M. Langstaff F
Bench (8)
9 T. Bradshaw
18 R. Leonard
23 G. Saville
19 D. Watmore
4 S. Hutchinson
7 K. Nisbet
37 K. Smith
1 L. Jensen

Coach: N. Harris

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Whitestone · 166 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.