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Svenska Cupen
Referee: R Hasani
Berga
S T S
1–2
Full-time
Orgryte
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Berga Orgryte
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/5 matches
Win Ø 54%
67%
40%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 90%
100%
80%
Both score Ø 54%
67%
40%
Average goals
4,0
3,8
Scored
3,0
1,2
Conceded
1,0
2,6
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Stockholm Internazionale 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Karlberg 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Trollhättan 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Skövde AIK 1 1 0 0 +5 3
5 FBK Karlstad 2 1 0 1 +4 3
6 Berga 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Kalmar 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Smedby 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Falkenbergs FF 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Degerfors 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Ariana 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Sollentuna 2 1 0 1 +2 3
13 Jonkopings Sodra 2 1 0 1 +2 3
14 Trelleborg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Vasteras SK 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Sirius 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 IFK Hässleholm 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Oster 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Orebro SK 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Täby 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Eskilsminne 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Helsingborg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Tvååker 2 1 0 1 +1 3
24 Huddinge 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Sandviken 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Kubikenborg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Torslanda 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Varnamo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Piteå 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Simrishamn 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Stocksund 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 IFK Östersund 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Tord 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Enskede 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Järfälla 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 IF Karlstad 2 1 0 1 +0 3
37 Nyköping 2 1 0 1 -1 3
38 Götaholm 2 1 0 1 -1 3
39 Gute 2 1 0 1 -1 3
40 Herrestads 2 1 0 1 -1 3
41 Angelholms FF 2 1 0 1 -2 3
42 Årsunda 2 1 0 1 -4 3
43 Haga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Borens 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Viggbyholms IK 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Nacka Iliria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Gottne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Gauthiod 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Vasalund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Onsala 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Ostersunds FK 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Skellefteå 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Balkan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Korsnäs 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 IFK Eskilstuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Sundsvall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Hudiksvall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 IFK Skövde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Arlanda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Vänersborgs IF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Sunnersta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Brålanda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Stegeborgs 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Kristianopels 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Torns 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Franke 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 Åstorp 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Tidaholms GoIF 1 0 0 1 -3 0
69 Zenith 1 0 0 1 -3 0
70 Lödde 1 0 0 1 -3 0
71 Dalkurd FF 1 0 0 1 -4 0
72 Timmernabbens 1 0 0 1 -4 0
73 Haninge 1 0 0 1 -4 0
74 Jönköpings BK 1 0 0 1 -4 0
75 Landvetter IS 1 0 0 1 -4 0
76 Styrsö 1 0 0 1 -5 0
77 Forward 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Berga Orgryte
0–1 A. Faye
own goal
18′
39′
V. Lundberg 0–2
Half-time 0–2
M. Ulaj 🔁
↦ P. Diouf
64′
71′
🔁 E. Ekpenyong
↦ N. Bärkroth
71′
🔁 I. Dahlqvist
↦ W. Svensson
71′
🔁 M. Karlsson
↦ V. Lundberg
94′
M. Karlsson 0–3
95′
🔁 J. Vennberg
↦ E. Sadiku
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Berga

5 D. Lagerlöf
1 O. Bouyer
17 O. Lindqvist
21 A. Olsson
2 R. Hajo
10 O. Engström
16 O. Lindh
18 J. Andersson
77 P. Diouf
99 P. Eliassi
7 E. Eliassi
Bench (8)
8 M. Ulaj
15 D. Mucolli
A. Albobali
M. Johansson
20 G. Wesström
A. Engström
M. Andersson
O. Deeb

Coach: A. Ajeti

Orgryte

A. Rahm
J. Azulay
A. Andreasson
C. Styffe
A. Faye
E. Sadiku
C. Vindehall
W. Svensson
A. Abukar
N. Bärkroth
V. Lundberg
Bench (8)
E. Ekpenyong
I. Dahlqvist
M. Karlsson
J. Vennberg
H. Gustafsson
A. Klipic
R. Jassim
Y. Mohamed

Coach: A. Holmberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.