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Championship
Referee: J Busby
Blackburn
U S T T S
0–0
Full-time
West Brom
S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackburn West Brom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
40%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,1
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,89 xG 0,44
49% Possession 51%
8 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Blackburn 6. · West Brom 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leeds 11 6 4 1 +11 +10.7 22
2 Sunderland 10 7 1 2 +11 +3.4 22
3 Burnley 10 6 3 1 +12 +1.7 21
4 Sheffield United 10 6 3 1 +7 +3.6 21
5 West Brom 10 5 3 2 +6 +5.4 18
6 Blackburn 10 5 3 2 +5 -0.5 18
7 Norwich 11 4 5 2 +6 +5.0 17
8 Watford 11 5 1 5 -4 -5.6 16
9 Bristol City 11 3 6 2 -2 +1.2 15
10 Oxford 11 3 5 3 +2 -3.1 14
11 Middlesbrough 10 4 2 4 +1 +9.6 14
12 Derby 11 4 2 5 +0 -1.9 14
13 Swansea 11 3 4 4 +1 -2.4 13
14 Preston 11 3 4 4 -4 -2.9 13
15 Stoke 11 3 3 5 -2 -5.0 12
16 Hull 10 3 3 4 -2 -3.2 12
17 Sheffield Weds 11 3 3 5 -6 -2.0 12
18 Luton 10 3 2 5 -4 +1.8 11
19 Cardiff 11 3 2 6 -7 -2.1 11
20 Plymouth 10 3 2 5 -8 -10.6 11
21 Millwall 10 2 4 4 +1 +7.5 10
22 Coventry 11 2 3 6 -4 +1.4 9
23 QPR 11 1 5 5 -8 -2.8 8
24 Portsmouth 11 1 5 5 -12 -9.1 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blackburn West Brom
D. Batth 🔁
↦ H. Carter
34′
Half-time 0–0
58′
🔁 J. Swift
↦ T. Fellows
A. Weimann 🔁
↦ R. Hedges
63′
67′
🟨 Alex Mowatt
Todd Cantwell 🟨
71′
M. Gueye 🔁
↦ Y. Ohashi
83′
C. Brittain 🔁
↦ T. Dolan
83′
A. Sigurðsson 🔁
↦ T. Cantwell
83′
83′
🔁 M. Johnston
↦ K. Ahearne-Grant
83′
🔁 L. Dobbin
↦ G. Diangana
92′
🔁 O. Diakité
↦ J. Molumby
92′
🔁 J. Wallace
↦ J. Maja
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Blackburn

4-2-3-1
1 A. Pears G
11 J. Rankin-Costello D
17 H. Carter D
5 D. Hyam D
24 O. Beck D
27 L. Travis M
6 S. Tronstad M
19 R. Hedges M
10 T. Dolan M
8 T. Cantwell M
23 Y. Ohashi F
Bench (9)
15 D. Batth
14 A. Weimann
9 M. Gueye
2 C. Brittain
7 A. Sigurðsson
42 L. Baker
21 J. Buckley
12 B. Tóth
3 H. Pickering

Coach: J. Eustace

West Brom

4-2-3-1
1 A. Palmer G
2 D. Furlong D
6 S. Ajayi D
21 P. McNair D
14 T. Heggem D
8 J. Molumby M
27 A. Mowatt M
31 T. Fellows M
11 G. Diangana M
18 K. Ahearne-Grant M
9 J. Maja F
Bench (9)
10 J. Swift
22 M. Johnston
19 L. Dobbin
17 O. Diakité
7 J. Wallace
4 C. Styles
20 U. Račić
24 G. Frabotta
23 J. Wildsmith

Coach: Carlos Corberan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,79
U ✓
3,27
B
2,57
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,09
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Busby · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.