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Championship
Referee: J Brooks
Cardiff
T T S T U
1–0
Full-time
Blackburn
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cardiff Blackburn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Championship · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 41%
27%
55%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
27%
55%
Both score Ø 32%
36%
27%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
14 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 0
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cardiff 18. · Blackburn 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sheffield United 12 7 3 2 +13 24
2 Norwich 11 7 2 2 +8 23
3 QPR 12 6 3 3 +5 21
4 Reading 11 7 0 4 -2 21
5 Burnley 11 4 6 1 +7 18
6 Blackburn 11 6 0 5 -1 18
7 Sunderland 12 4 5 3 +5 17
8 Watford 11 4 5 2 +4 17
9 Luton 12 4 5 3 +3 17
10 Wigan 10 4 4 2 +0 16
11 Bristol City 12 4 3 5 +2 15
12 Swansea 11 4 3 4 -1 15
13 Rotherham 10 3 5 2 +4 14
14 Preston 11 2 7 2 -1 13
15 Birmingham 11 3 4 4 -2 13
16 Millwall 11 4 1 6 -4 13
17 Stoke 11 3 3 5 -4 12
18 Cardiff 11 3 3 5 -4 12
19 Blackpool 12 3 3 6 -6 12
20 Hull 11 3 2 6 -12 11
21 West Brom 11 1 7 3 +0 10
22 Middlesbrough 10 2 4 4 -2 10
23 Huddersfield 11 2 2 7 -6 8
24 Coventry 8 0 4 4 -6 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cardiff Blackburn
J. Simpson 🔁
↦ M. Romeo
23′
Sheyi Ojo 🟨
33′
34′
🟨 Sammie Szmodics
Half-time 0–0
Romaine Sawyers 🟨
57′
57′
🔁 G. Hirst
↦ T. Dolan
57′
🔁 T. Morton
↦ J. Buckley
M. Harris 🔁
↦ S. Ojo
61′
J. Ralls 🔁
↦ R. Sawyers
62′
68′
🔁 S. Gallagher
↦ B. Brereton
68′
🔁 B. Dack
↦ S. Szmodics
J. Philogene 🔁
↦ C. ODowda
76′
1–0 M. Harris
C. Robinson
83′
84′
🟨 Sam Gallagher
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Cardiff

4-1-4-1
1 R. Allsop G
2 M. Romeo D
38 P. Ng D
23 C. Kipré D
37 N. Nkounkou D
6 R. Wintle M
10 S. Ojo M
35 A. Rinomhota M
19 R. Sawyers M
11 C. O'Dowda M
47 C. Robinson F
Bench (7)
26 J. Simpson
29 M. Harris
8 J. Ralls
25 J. Philogene
21 J. Alnwick
20 G. Whyte
16 C. Nelson

Coach: M. Hudson

Blackburn

4-2-3-1
1 T. Kaminski G
2 C. Brittain D
5 D. Hyam D
4 Daniel Ayala D
3 H. Pickering D
21 J. Buckley M
27 L. Travis M
19 R. Hedges M
8 S. Szmodics M
22 B. Brereton M
10 T. Dolan F
Bench (7)
14 G. Hirst
6 T. Morton
9 S. Gallagher
23 B. Dack
16 S. Wharton
13 A. Pears
17 H. Carter

Coach: J. Tomasson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,36
U
3,23
B
3,14
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,22
U2,5 ✓
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Brooks · 175 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.