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Championship
Referee: J Busby
Millwall
S S S S S
2–3
Full-time
Watford
U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Millwall Watford
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,5
1,7
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,00 xG 1,12
54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Mar -24 Millwall – Watford 1–0 28. Oct -23 Watford – Millwall 2–2 26. Dec -22 Watford – Millwall 0–2 19. Oct -22 Millwall – Watford 3–0 24. Apr -21 Watford – Millwall 1–0

Match report

Millwall Watford
7′
🟨 Francisco Sierralta
22′
⚽ E. Kayembe 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Ryan Leonard 🟨
55′
55′
⚽ G. Chakvetadze 0–2
A. Emakhu 🔁
↦ R. Esse
62′
M. Langstaff 🔁
↦ G. Honeyman
62′
1–2 D. Watmore ⚽
74′
75′
🔁 K. Sema
↦ J. Ngakia
75′
🔁 M. Rajović
↦ V. Bayo
K. Nisbet 🔁
↦ T. Bradshaw
84′
D. McNamara 🔁
↦ R. Leonard
84′
Joe Bryan 🟨
86′
86′
🟨 Edo Kayembe
2–2 D. Watmore ⚽
G. Saville
88′
90′
🟨 Mileta Rajović
90′
⚽ M. Rajović 2–3
94′
🔁 T. Ince
↦ G. Chakvetadze
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Millwall

4-2-3-1
1 L. Jensen G
18 R. Leonard D
4 S. Hutchinson D
5 J. Cooper D
15 J. Bryan D
24 C. De Norre M
23 G. Saville M
25 R. Esse M
39 G. Honeyman M
19 D. Watmore M
9 T. Bradshaw F
Bench (9)
22 A. Emakhu
17 M. Langstaff
7 K. Nisbet
2 D. McNamara
45 W. Harding
13 L. Roberts
29 T. Leahy
44 A. Massey
37 K. Smith

Coach: N. Harris

Watford

3-4-2-1
1 D. Bachmann G
5 R. Porteous D
3 F. Sierralta D
6 M. Pollock D
45 R. Andrews M
17 M. Sissoko M
24 T. Dele-Bashiru M
2 J. Ngakia M
39 E. Kayembe F
8 G. Chakvetadze F
19 V. Bayo F
Bench (9)
12 K. Sema
9 M. Rajović
7 T. Ince
23 J. Bond
10 I. Louza
34 K. Baah
22 J. Morris
11 R. Vata
37 Y. Larouci

Coach: T. Cleverley

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,34
🔒
U
3,20
🔒
B ✓
3,19
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,30
🔒
U2,5
1,61
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Busby · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.